Canadian Solar (CSIQ)


July 15, 2025

Barring A Divestment of Its Core Operations, Given CSI Solar is Incorporated in China, we Believe Incremental Projects in Canadian Solar’s Recurrent Segment (i.e., the bulk of its valuation) are Subject to FEOC Restrictions, Meaning they are Worth Materially Less

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Is Canadian Solar Incorporated in Canada or the People’s Republic of China (“PRC”)? When we asked popular artificial intelligence applications OpenAI and xAI where Canadian Solar (“CSIQ”) is incorporated, the answer from both was Canada….

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January 16, 2025

After Falling -72.8% Over the Past 2yrs (vs. +49.1% for the S&P 500 Over the Same Timeframe), is Canadian Solar Still a Good Short Play?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Does Canadian Solar Still Represent a “Solid Short Play” Following its Collapse Over the Past 2yrs? In this note, we analyze: (1) the capacity for China’s top 9 solar cell makers in 2025E vs. 2025E…

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July 30, 2024

After Recalibrating Our Bottom-Up CSIQ Revenue-Driver Model, Our 2024E Yr-End Price Target Adjusts Higher to $12.28/shr From $9.10/shr Prior; Are Consensus’ 2024E CSIQ Estimates “Stale”? Maintain SELL

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Our Checks Suggests Investors Remain Excited About Canadian Solar’s Ability to Sell its Utility-Scale Solar Pipeline. In recent discussions with solar investors, we’ve learned that many feel CSIQ’s 5.0GW of Recurrent Energy solar project development…

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March 13, 2024

After Recalibrating Our Bottom-Up CSIQ Revenue-Driver Model, Our 2024E Yr-End Price Target Adjusts Lower to $9.10/shr From $16.43/Shr Prior; Are Consensus’ 2024E CSIQ Estimates “Stale”?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Higher Interest Rates are Making Canadian Solar’s Ability to Sell its Utility-Scale Solar Projects “Very Difficult”. As a reminder, we note: (1) in 2Q23, CSIQ saw its Recurrent Energy segment deliver $360mn in revenues at…

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June 13, 2023

Canadian Solar has Outperformed its Chinese Solar Module Peers; will It Continue to “Shine”?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Canadian Solar Has Been a Significant Outperformer Over the TTM. Over the past year (Ex. 1), CSIQ’s shares are up +24.5%, vs. -19.7% for Jinko Solar Co. Ltd., -54.5% for Longi Green Energy Tech. Co….

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January 23, 2023

Following a Full Model Revamp, CSIQ’s Forward Earnings Appear Set to Be Rerated Lower for New Environment; PT Lower to $12.22/shr

By Gordon L. Johnson II

2022 Was a Good Year for Canadian Solar; 2023E Appears Set to be the Exact Opposite. In its most recent quarter, CSIQ reported rev/GAAP-EPS of $1.93B/$1.12 vs. Cons’ ests. of $1.86B/$0.30 (a material beat, at…

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