Our Research


March 5, 2026

Initiate nVent Electric (NVT) at BUY – Investor Day to quantify data center hypergrowth

By Austin Wang

We initiate coverage on nVent Electric at BUY w/ a street-high $151PT and estimates to match. We believe that despite management’s best efforts, the analyst community is mismodeling the size and growth of NVT’s liquid…

Read More >>

March 5, 2026

Initiate Powell Industries (POWL) at HOLD – Execution utilities-focused, data center upside limited

By Austin Wang

We initiate coverage of POWL at HOLD with a $450PT as channel checks and management commentary call into question the data center narrative priced into the stock. We model +MSD% upside to sellside numbers, but…

Read More >>

March 5, 2026

Initiate Solaris Energy Infrastructure (SEI) at BUY – Hyperscaler Credentials Place it Among Premium Peers, $60PT

By Austin Wang

We initiate coverage on Solaris Energy Infrastructure at BUY with a $60PT even as BYoG power generation continues to prove itself through incremental contracting at extended durations. Speed-to-power continues to resonate in industry conversations as…

Read More >>

March 4, 2026

First Solar Q4 Review: Downgrade to HOLD on Guidance Weakness, Backlog Deterioration & Uncertainty Ahead of 232 Clarification

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Investment Thesis FSLR 4Q25 Earnings: Ugly Guide, but the Real Story is What Comes Next The headline: 2026 guidance was a meaningful miss across every metric – revenue, volumes, and EBITDA – and it wasn’t…

Read More >>

March 3, 2026

Sunrun (RUN): Valuation Methodology – we Set 2026E Year-End Price Objective at $6.73 (-46.3% Downside from Yesterday’s Closing Price); Q&A Below with Two Structured Product Solar ABS Traders (from Feb. 12th, 2026)

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Investment Thesis Sunrun is materially overvalued on any rigorous DCF construction – the stock is pricing in an outcome that the underlying cash flow trajectory does not support. Our $6.73 price target is anchored to…

Read More >>

March 2, 2026

Metals & Mining Weekly: Nucor Spot Prices Tops $1,000/ton; US Supply Surges to >4yr High

By Gordon L. Johnson II

LME Metal Prices Mostly Lower vs. Previous Close: Today, Copper -1.92% to $5.92/lb; aluminum +0.94% to $1.57/lb; nickel -2.00% to $9.32/lb; zinc -0.48% to $1.61/lb; lead -0.35% to $1.10/lb; gold +0.60% to $5,311/oz; silver -6.52% to…

Read More >>

February 27, 2026

RUN Q4 Review: The Securitization Machine Is Stalling – Revenue Mirage Masks $110M Cash Generation Miss, Tax Equity Freeze, and ABS Market Deterioration

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Investment Thesis Headline beat masks deteriorating unit economics. Revenue inflated by asset-sale accounting. Volume declining. Creation costs rising. 2026E Cash Generation guidance of $350M midpoint is $110M below Street consensus – a material miss being…

Read More >>

February 26, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 2/25/2026: Cost pass-through stalls in midstream as end-market demand remains weak

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Please see bottom of report for important disclosures Gordon L. Johnson/GLJ Research LLC ————————————————– Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$47,630/ton = $6.65/kg) – down 3.4% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT….

Read More >>

February 24, 2026

Tesla – The Optimus Delusion: Strip Away the Narrative and What’s Left?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Investment Thesis We reiterate our SELL rating and $25.28 price target on TSLA. In this note, we specifically address the question Wall Street’s TSLA bulls refuse to ask honestly: what if Optimus actually works? Our answer, after an…

Read More >>

February 20, 2026

The Commodity Trap: Fortescue’s Earnings Cliff Is Here

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Investment Thesis We reiterate our SELL rating on Fortescue and adjust our year-end 2026E price target higher to A$15.00 (from A$12.00 prior) ahead of H1 FY26 results on February 25. Our conviction has increased materially…

Read More >>

February 19, 2026

Tesla Inc. (TSLA) — Research Update

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Thesis: The Emperor Has No Clothes — And the Market Doesn’t Care (Yet) We are reiterating our SELL rating on Tesla with a year-end 2026 price target of $25.28/share. At ~$410, Tesla trades at 382x…

Read More >>

February 18, 2026

Metals & Mining Weekly: U.S. Mills Maintain the Upper Hand, But Price Hikes Slow to Stick

By Gordon L. Johnson II

LME Metal Prices Flat-to-Higher vs. Previous Close: Today, Copper +2.35% to $5.83/lb; aluminum flat at $1.53/lb; nickel flat at $9.20/lb; zinc flat at $1.59/lb; lead +0.86% to $1.09/lb; gold -0.23% to $5,046/oz; silver +6.24% to $78.11/oz;…

Read More >>

February 18, 2026

Picks & Shovels: New West Virginia 1.2GW announced for ’31 CoD – AGX on shortlist?

By Austin Wang

A public utility applied to build a 1.2GW CCGT (expected to CoD in ’31) as a brownfield addition to an existing coal power plant at Fort Martin Power Station. AGX ($414.98, BUY) – 1.2GW CCGT…

Read More >>

February 18, 2026

Cameco Corporation/CCJ: 4Q25 Review – Uranium Fundamentals Strengthening; WEC Guidance Soft but Conservative

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Investment Thesis We reiterate our BUY rating on Cameco with an updated C$171.20 price target (prior C$100) – +11% upside from yesterday’s closing price – following strong 4Q25 results that underscored the fundamental tightness in…

Read More >>

February 17, 2026

GLJ Solar Weekly – CSI Data Dump for Dec. ’25 Sheds Light on Storage Momentum & Fireside Chat w/ Solar Bull on State of Market in Q1

By Gordon L. Johnson II

California Solar Initiative (“CSI”) Data Sheds Light on State of Affairs for Module Level Performance Electronic (“MLPE”) Bellwethers Enphase and SolarEdge, as well as U.S. Storage Market. In this note, we provide the key takeaways from…

Read More >>