Our Research


June 29, 2026

Legence (LGN, BUY) – Co-vendor checks + STRL reads emphasize future rate-of-change – 2Q Preview – PT to $122

By Austin Wang

We reiterate our BUY rating with LGN holding pre-1Q levels despite stronger fundamentals. Our checks with co-vendors and CEO-validated reads from competitor Sterling (STRL, not rated) emphasize strong 2H bookings rate-of-change even as former owner…

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June 24, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 6/24/2026

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Please see bottom of report for important disclosures Gordon L. Johnson/GLJ Research LLC ————————————————– Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$36,485/ton = $5.15/kg) – down 0.1% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT….

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June 24, 2026

Sunrun (RUN) – 16 Gigawatts of Marketing, ~4 Gigawatts of Battery, and Not Much Else

By Gordon L. Johnson II

What you Need to Know. This morning Sunrun, Renew Home and Tesla announced a framework to deliver “more than 16 GW” of flexible capacity to hyperscalers and utilities. The number is engineered for a press…

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June 23, 2026

Metals & Mining Weekly: Nucor Hits Pause After 22 Straight Weeks of Hikes — Is the Top In?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

LME Metal Prices Mostly Higher vs. Previous Close: Yesterday, Copper -0.70% to $6.15/lb; aluminum +0.43% to $1.61/lb; nickel -2.05% to $8.98/lb; zinc -0.68% to $1.65/lb; lead -0.66% to $1.09/lb; gold +0.86% to $4,191/oz; silver +0.45%…

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June 18, 2026

Minimill 2Q26 Guides: A High-Quality Miss and a Low-Quality Beat

By Gordon L. Johnson II

STLD “misses” and NUE “beats” — but strip the one-offs and both print light; the read-through for Cleveland-Cliffs (“CLF”) and for 2H HRC is more nuanced than the headlines, with the import data the swing…

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June 18, 2026

Vertiv (VRT, HOLD) – Colocation + Cooling OEM checks demand a new look – Upgrade to HOLD

By Austin Wang

We are upgrading Vertiv to HOLD – CoolIt’s recent breakthrough with a 15kW cold plate extends the viability of Vertiv’s single-phase DC cooling offering well into the 2030’s even as we reevaluate our thesis after…

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June 17, 2026

GLJ Macro Weekly: R.I.P. Fed Put — Warsh Picks Up Volcker’s Stick

By Gordon L. Johnson II

The Bernanke–Powell asset-price backstop is (seemingly) being dismantled in real time. The regime has changed — so the market may be forced to price the end of the put. Our Take WHAT HAPPENED: At his…

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June 17, 2026

Fireside Chat w/ Large US Solar Distributor Sheds Light on Solar’s “State of the Union” Ahead of 2Q26E Results as 25D Sunsets and the July 4 Safe-Harbor Cliff Comes Into View

By Gordon L. Johnson II

What Is the Channel Seeing Three Weeks Ahead of the July 4 Safe-Harbor Deadline? Below, we provide a Q&A we had today with Krannich — one of the largest global distributors of solar products, with…

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June 17, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 6/17/2026: Solar Price Collapse Accelerates as: Silver Price Fall + Still Weakening Global Demand = Price “Nightmare on Elm Street” Scenario

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Please see bottom of report for important disclosures Gordon L. Johnson/GLJ Research LLC ————————————————– Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$36,525/ton = $5.18/kg) – up 1.2% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT….

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June 16, 2026

ShovelCheck: CoolIt’s Cold Plate Breakthrough Assures Vera Rubin Future for Single-Phase D2C Cooling Incumbents

By Austin Wang

Our cooling vendor checks emphasize that CoolIt’s recent announcement of a 15kW cold plate assures years of viability for single-phase D2C liquid cooling vs. refrigerant driven two-phase. We examine reads across our coverage at Vertiv…

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June 12, 2026

Tesla (TSLA) – 2Q26E Deliveries Preview: We Model the Beat, Yet We’re Still Short

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Investment Conclusion With roughly three weeks of the quarter still to run, our model points to 2Q26E global deliveries of 426,017 units — up 19.0% sequentially from 1Q26’s 358,023 and up 10.9% against the 384,122…

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June 11, 2026

SEDG/ENPH/RUN – Consensus Forecasts “Sunny Skies” in 2H26 for Resi Solar; Wood Mackenzie Says Down ~40%; One of them is Wrong; we Rate all Three SELL

By Gordon L. Johnson II

The Thesis, in One Breath Wood Mackenzie and SEIA forecast U.S. residential solar installations fall -21% y/y in 2026 (link). Therefore, when incorporating the consensus forecast that installs rise +5% y/y in 2Q26 — demand…

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June 10, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 6/10/2026: Solar Prices (across all substrates) Implode Coming out of China’s SNEC 19th Int’l PV Power Generation & Smart Energy Conf. June 3rd-5th

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Please see bottom of report for important disclosures Gordon L. Johnson/GLJ Research LLC ————————————————– Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$36,100/ton = $5.11/kg) – down 1.4% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT.Source:…

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June 9, 2026

Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) — Upgrading to HOLD from SELL: Supply Squeeze Overwhelms Seasonality; 3Q26 Consensus ASP of $1,132 Looks Stale vs. Our $1,184 on the Current HRC Curve — PT to $15.01 (~18% upside from yesterday’s close)

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Executive Summary We are upgrading Cleveland-Cliffs (“CLF”) to HOLD from SELL and raising our 12-month price target to $15.01 (from $9.03 prior). The upgrade reflects a material change in the evidence since our May 5,…

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June 3, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 6/3/2026

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Please see bottom of report for important disclosures Gordon L. Johnson/GLJ Research LLC ————————————————– Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$36,605/ton = $5.18/kg) – down 0.3% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT….

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