Our Research


May 15, 2026

GLJ Global Macro Strategy | Made in Japan: The Inflation Catalyst Wall Street Just Misread

By Gordon L. Johnson II

A three-sigma PPI shock out of Tokyo — not Trump/Xi tensions — drove today’s global rates repricing. With peer central banks pricing two-to-three additional hikes into year-end and the Fed strip still at one, the…

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May 15, 2026

Metals & Mining Weekly: LME Weaker, Steel Strengthens, Q1’26 Earnings Calls Flash Consumer Warning Signs

By Gordon L. Johnson II

LME Metal Prices Mostly Lower vs. Previous Close: Today, Copper -1.56% to $6.30/lb; aluminum -1.08% to $1.63/lb; nickel -1.23% to $9.63/lb; zinc -0.37% to $1.65/lb; lead +0.19% to $1.11/lb; gold -1.38% to $4,588/oz; silver -4.01%…

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May 13, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 5/13/2026

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Please see bottom of report for important disclosures Gordon L. Johnson/GLJ Research LLC ————————————————– Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$37,190/ton = $5.25/kg) – down 4.8% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT….

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May 13, 2026

Nextpower (NXT; BUY) – F4Q26 Earnings Review: Clean Beat & FY27 Raise; FCF Print Reaffirms Quality of Earnings

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Executive Summary NXT delivered a clean F4Q26 beat across every line item that matters and raised FY27 revenue guidance more than we expected, but the optical headline of the print is overshadowed by what is,…

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May 12, 2026

GLJ Global Macro Strategy | The $318B T-Bill Drain Ahead — Why the Liquidity Tailwind That Sent Stocks Soaring Is About to Reverse

By Gordon L. Johnson II

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY In roughly two decades on the sell-side, we have learned that the most reliable bearish setups are the ones that hide in plain sight in the plumbing of the financial system rather than…

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May 12, 2026

Legence (LGN, BUY) – 1Q26 Re-Preview: Bowers Backlog to Break A Higher Bar, PT to $121

By Austin Wang

We see today’s theme-driven pull-back ahead of Legence’s impending earnings (earnings expected 7am Thursday 5/14) as an opportunity to own the most accelerative story in data EPC into a +10% topline guidance raise on earnings….

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May 12, 2026

Cameco Corp. (CCO, BUY) – Patience Required; Near-Term Headwinds Cloud a Still-Intact AI-Driven Long-Term Thesis; Maintain BUY

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Investment Thesis & Summary We are reiterating our BUY rating on Cameco Corp. (CCO) but lowering our 12-month price target to C$152.60/share from C$171.20/share previously, an implied 7.3% reduction. Our slightly reduced target is derived…

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May 7, 2026

Sunrun Inc. (RUN) – 1Q26 Recap: The “Cash Generation” Mirage Vanishes — A Quarter That Validates Our Thesis

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Bottom Line: 1Q26 Was the Quarter the Bull Thesis Broke The simplest version of the “smart” bull thesis on RUN goes like this: “Don’t worry about GAAP free cash flow — RUN is willingly burning…

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May 6, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 5/6/2026

By Austin Wang

Please see bottom of report for important disclosures Gordon L. Johnson/GLJ Research LLC ————————————————– Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$39,080/ton = $5.50/kg) – up 1.3% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT….

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May 5, 2026

Cleveland Cliffs (CLF) – Guidance Credibility Erodes; Entering Seasonally Weakest Window for HRC as Cycle Risk Compounds — PT Modestly Lower to $9.03; Maintain SELL

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Executive Summary We reiterate our SELL rating on Cleveland-Cliffs (“CLF”) and reduce our 12-month price target to $9.03, from $9.42 prior, reflecting: (i) a sustained pattern of negative variances between management’s quarterly cost and ASP…

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May 4, 2026

Powell Industries (POWL, HOLD) – F2Q FLASH Powell prints $400mm+ data center order

By Austin Wang

Powell Industries missed GAAP revs / GMs / EPS but we expect the focus to be on a single $400mm+ data center order we believe to be with a hyperscaler / colocation provider. POWL’s F2Q…

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May 1, 2026

nVent Electric (NVT, BUY) – 1Q26 FLASH – FY organic sales guide bumped +10% to +22%

By Austin Wang

Expect Street to revise upwards after a clean beat & raise on strong incremental margins for key growth segment Systems Protection. NVT posted mid-30’s organic growth while raising the FY guide to low-20’s – we…

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May 1, 2026

Comfort Systems (FIX, BUY) – The Beat and Raise Party Is Still On, PT to $2,518 – 1Q26 Review

By Austin Wang

We raise our numbers as FIX beat and raised atop difficult compares in defiance of valuation fears. Our catch-up with Investor Relations continues to underscore our conversations with cooling co-vendors – installation volumes and pricing…

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April 29, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 4/29/2026

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$38,585/ton = $5.42/kg) – down 14.8% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT. Source: Guangzhou Futures exchange. Solar Pricing Metrics – 4/29/2026 Note: EnergyTrend discontinued slurry saw…

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April 29, 2026

Enphase (ENPH) – Headline Beat Masks an Underlying Disaster: U.S. Sell-Through Down 48% Q/Q, 2Q Guide Misses by 4%, Batteries Miss by 27%

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Bottom Line Enphase delivered the kind of “beat” that does not survive contact with the second page. Headline 1Q26 revenue of $282.9M printed in-line (-0.3% vs. consensus $283.8M), and the optical (non-GAAP) OPEX line drove…

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