Renewable Energy


November 5, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 11/04/2026: Poly-Si Futures Give Back Last Week’s Bounce (-6.0% WoW to CNY 34,455/t) as Warrant Cancellations Add Supply; Spot Holds but Diverges by Format (G12 Cells +3.3%, 210R Wafers -2.0%) as Year-End Demand Fades, While PVInsights Poly-Si Slips for a 2nd Straight Week (-1.0% to $4.97/kg)

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Futures now ~20% below the producers’ CNY 43,000/t floor and ~14% below InfoLink spot (RMB 40.0/kg), with >570K MT of inventory still building (if more slowly); EnergyTrend warns that nominally stable poly-Si quotes may be…

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November 2, 2026

Solar Industry Update — Will a Democratic Win in Tomorrow’s Midterm Elections Spark a Rally in Solar Stocks?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

What the last three times Democrats took power did for solar, and why tomorrow sets up weaker than any of them. KEY TAKEAWAYS Our answer: a pop, probably. A rally, probably not. Since 2010, control…

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October 28, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 10/28/2026: Poly-Si Futures Bounce +8.7% WoW to CNY 36,670/t on Output-Cut Hopes, but the “Floor” Isn’t Reaching Downstream: Module Prices Fall for a 2nd Straight Week, While China Wafer & Cell Prices Slide (-2.0% to -3.3% WoW)

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Poly-Si still ~15% below the producers’ CNY 43,000/t floor with >560K MT of inventory; China TOPCon module prices ~9% below the RMB 0.79/W “minimum” (i.e., price discipline is not passing through). Poly-Si: futures bounce, spot…

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October 21, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 10/21/2026: Module Prices Fall for First Time in 7 Weeks (after holding steady); Polysilicon Inventories at >560K Metric Tons Remain a “Big” Problem, thus the WoW Fall in Poly-Si Spot Futures Prices to CNY 33,725/t, or Near Recent Lows (despite reports China’s top 8 poly-Si producers recently agreed to a price floor of CNY 43,000/t [i.e., it’s not working])

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$33,725/ton = $5.23/kg) – down -1.82% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT.Source: Guangzhou Futures exchange. Solar Pricing Metrics – 10/21/2026 Note: EnergyTrend discontinued slurry saw price…

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October 13, 2026

Residential Solar Update – Krannich, Round Three Fireside Chat: The “So-Called Recovery” Is Localized, Safe Harbor Fell Short, & String Inverters Are Back; What It Means Into 3Q26 Prints and 4Q26 Guides

By Gordon L. Johnson II

In March, the Chief Sales Officer of one of America’s largest solar distributors told us things would pick up. In June, he said the coming months should help. In what follows, we detail what he’s…

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October 7, 2026

Solar Weekly – The Tariff Is a Price Floor; the Demand Is Still a Question; & the First Solar “Mystery”

By Gordon L. Johnson II

China’s polysilicon cuts are talk until they show up in the meeting minutes. First Solar is at 10.9x trailing earnings and the sell-side cannot agree on why. Key Takeaways Nothing new in price, which is…

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September 30, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 9/30/2026: Upstream and Midstream Prices Hold Steady, Poly-Si Spot Prices Fall, while European Module Prices Weaken

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$36,685/ton = $5.23/kg) – down -1.36% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT.Source: Guangzhou Futures exchange. Solar Pricing Metrics – 9/30/2026 Note: EnergyTrend discontinued slurry saw price…

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September 30, 2026

California Solar Initiative – Jun–Aug 2026 Data: June Snapped Back, August Didn’t. The Total Market Is Up 6.6% YTD; Residential Just Printed Its Weakest Month Since 2020

By Gordon L. Johnson II

KEY TAKEAWAYS The California Solar Initiative (“CSI”) posted June, July and August in one update this week, so we get to grade our own homework three times over. In July we said June would decide…

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September 23, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 9/23/2026: Muted Transactions Anchor Solar Price Stability – Polysilicon Prices Held Steady this Week as Market Participants Adopted a Cautious Stance

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$37,090/ton = $5.30/kg) – up 0.69% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT.Source: Guangzhou Futures exchange. Solar Pricing Metrics – 9/23/2026 Note: EnergyTrend discontinued slurry saw price…

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September 16, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 9/16/2026: Extent of Polysilicon Production Cuts Remains Uncertain; Quotes Hold Steady Amid Limited Transactions; Poly-Si Spot Prices Fall

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$36,835/ton = $5.27/kg) – down 2.07% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT.Source: Guangzhou Futures exchange. Solar Pricing Metrics – 9/16/2026 Note: EnergyTrend discontinued slurry saw price…

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September 15, 2026

Solar Industry Channel Check – Hope Is Not a Tax Credit (discussion w/ Washington-Based Tax-Policy Expert on Potential Nov. Democratic Sweep and what it Means for the Solar Space)

By Gordon L. Johnson II

A Democratic sweep in November gets residential solar a bill, not a law. Meanwhile the IRS has found the industry’s soft spot. What our latest Washington check means for RUN, ENPH and SEDG. Bottom Line…

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September 9, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 9/6/2026: Solar Wafer and Cell Prices Fall (Sharply) Again; Reiterate SELL on JKS, CSIQ, & DQ

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$37,615/ton = $5.38/kg) – up 1.90% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT.Source: Guangzhou Futures exchange. Solar Pricing Metrics – 9/9/2026 Note: EnergyTrend discontinued slurry saw price…

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September 2, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 9/2/2026: Solar Prices Now Falling (Sharply) Across All Substrates; Reiterate SELL on JKS, CSIQ, & DQ

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$36,900/ton = $5.26/kg) – down 2.0% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT.Source: Guangzhou Futures exchange. Solar Pricing Metrics – 9/2/2026 Note: EnergyTrend discontinued slurry saw price…

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September 1, 2026

Sunrun (RUN) – Updated Guggenheim Solar ABS Remittance Report: Twelve Deals Are in Breach. The Delinquency Pipeline Says Twenty-Four.

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Twelve deals are through their loss triggers; mark the 90+ pipeline at zero recovery and it is twenty-four. None of them are Sunrun’s, which is the point — this file sets the price of residential…

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August 26, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 8/26/2026: Pricing Sentiment (Sharply) Reverses Downward; Wafer and Cell Prices Come Under Intense Selling Pressure (as we warned)

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$37,645/ton = $5.37/kg) – down 0.4% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT.Source: Guangzhou Futures exchange. Solar Pricing Metrics – 8/26/2026 Note: EnergyTrend discontinued slurry saw price…

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