Cleveland Cliffs (CLF)


July 11, 2024

Is Cleveland-Cliffs Offering HRC Steel for Under $600/ton to Fill its Order Books… Setting the Stage for a N-Term Price Hike Announcement?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Our Checks Suggest Cleveland Cliffs May be Trying to Stop the Bleeding of Hot-Rolled-Coil Prices Falling. In checks we conducted yesterday, we were informed that CLF is alleged to be offering a significant baseload of…

Read More >>

June 6, 2024

Downgrade to SELL as We See a Combination of Q2 Street Ests. that are Too High + a Cracking US Economy = Equating to a Continued Sell-Off in U.S. Steel Stocks; PT to $10.13/shr, or -37.2% Downside from Yesterday’s Close

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Are Street Ests. Too High, and Are Service Centers Actively Trading Steel Stocks Amongst Themselves, Suggesting the “Great Restocking” That Many Steel Bulls Have Become Accustomed to is Not Coming Anytime Soon? The, somewhat complicated,…

Read More >>

March 28, 2024

We Upgrade Cleveland Cliffs to BUY from SELL on: “Trump Put” + “Biden Put” + Rotation Out of Tech into Value = Smooth Sailing Looking Forward

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Is Cleveland Cliffs Really a BUY Here? With the S&P 500 up +10.0% year-to-date (“YTD”), vs. CLF being up +8.4% over the same timeframe (i.e., CLF has underperformed), not to mention the QQQs being up…

Read More >>

February 6, 2024

US HRC Steel Prices Appear Set to Have a “Humpty Alexander Dumpty”-Like Fall… Which is Not Priced Into CLF’s Shares; PT to $11.41/shr

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Looking Past Last Year’s Delayed Recession, the Real Thing Appears Set to Take Hold in 2024. While steel industry CEO’s have maintained a positive bias thru 4Q23 earnings reporting season, contrary to the belief of…

Read More >>

December 5, 2023

Is the Recent Surge in US HRC Spot Prices the Biggest “Head Fake” Since, Well, This Time Last Yr (Setting US Steel Stocks up for a Big Early ’24 Fall), or is it the “Real Deal”?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

The Spread Between US HRC Spot Prices and Foreign HRC Spot Prices Has Exploded Higher Recently; is it Justified? As detailed below (Ex. 1), since 10/13/23, US HRC spot prices have surged +$335/s. ton, vs….

Read More >>

August 14, 2023

US Steel Rejects Cleveland Cliffs’ Takeover Offer After the Latter Refuses to Engage in the Necessary/Customary Processes to Assess Valuation & Regulatory Issues – GLJ’s Take

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Cliff’s Offers to Pay a 42% Premium for US Steel, Effectively Crediting the Company for its “Best for All®” Strategy Before it’s Been Fully Executed (a huge plus for US Steel’s shareholders). Last night, we…

Read More >>