Metals & Mining


March 8, 2023

Graphite Electrode Pricing Update (Week of 3/8/23) – Price Declines Accelerate Week-Over-Week, with 600mm UHP Prices Down -2.51%; US HRC Futures Prices “Stop Going Up”

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Graphite Electrode Prices Give Back (Even More) of the Recent Gains. Below, in Ex. 1, we provide 2023 (i.e., WoW, MoM, YoY, and YTD) pricing gyrations for a number of different graphite electrode substrates in RMB and…

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February 28, 2023

GLJ Global Macro Weekly – Disinflation Euphoria Hit With “Red-Hot” Inflation, Highest Services PCE Since 1984, & Upward Revisions to Oct.-Dec. Inflation Data

By Gordon L. Johnson II

The Fed’s Inflation Problem is Turning into a “Horror Movie”. As we have said many times, the Fed’s measuring stick for its 2% inflation target is the Personal Consumption Expenditures (“PCE”) price index, and specifically…

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February 21, 2023

GLJ Global Macro Weekly – Global Central Banks are “Unilaterally” Withdrawing Liquidity to Fight Inflation; This Will Likely Prove a Headwind to Risk Assets

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Global Central Banks Saw Their Combined Balance Sheets Fall -$237.1B 2/8/23-to-2/15/23, Led by the ECB’s -$127.0B Week-over-Week (“WoW”) Fall. We are of the mindset that the surge in global liquidity since the onset of COVID…

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February 13, 2023

What if We Told You We Had a “Magic Elixir” That Allows You to Predict the S&P 500 w/ 84.5% Accuracy?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

What is the Best Measure of Liquidity, and is the Recent “Reckless” Infusion of Liquidity by the Fed the Real Reason Stocks Have Surged Since 2009? In short, looking at the .OLIQ G INDEX on…

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February 5, 2023

GLJ Global Macro Weekly – Were Hedge Funds Caught on the Wrong Side of J. Powell and is the Violent Upside Seen YTD Set to Reverse Just as Fast as it Emerged?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

There has been an Earthquake at Quant Funds that Has Sent Meme Stocks (TSLA + AMC + COIN + GME + BBBY + etc.) Soaring; is it Sustainable? The bears have been decimated this year,…

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January 30, 2023

GLJ Global Macro Weekly – Is Core Inflation Re-Accelerating, Is Spending on Goods (Following Pandemic Binge) Fizzling Out, and Is there An Easy Explanation for the Recent Surge in “Meme” Stocks?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

While Many Claim the “Inflation Monster” has Been Slayed, with December Services Inflation Spiking and Core PCE Re-Accelerating (Balanced, Modestly, by Goods Inflation Plunging) We Foresee a More Hawkish Powell Later this Week. As is…

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January 18, 2023

Graphite Electrode Pricing Update (Week of 1/18/23) – Price Declines Accelerate Week-Over-Week, with 600mm UHP Prices Down -2.55%

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Graphite Electrode Prices Give Back (Even More) of the Recent Gains. Below, in Ex. 1, we provide 2023 (i.e., WoW, MoM, YoY, and YTD) pricing gyrations for a number of different graphite electrode substrates in…

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January 11, 2023

Graphite Electrode Pricing Update (Week of 1/11/13) – UHP 600mm Chinese GE Prices Tumble -3.29% Week-Over-Week, Giving Back Some (More Recent) Gains

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Graphite Electrode Prices Give Back Some of the More Recent Gains. Below, in Ex. 1, we provide 2023 (i.e., WoW, MoM, YoY, and YTD) pricing gyrations for a number of different graphite electrode substrates in…

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January 8, 2023

Euro Zone Inflation (Excl. Energy) Just Hit a New Record as Did Services Inflation; ECB Reacts w/ Record Withdrawal of Liquidity (this is Bad for Risk Assets)

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Metals & Mining Weekly – The ECB Reacts to Surging Inflation by Draining Huge Chunk of Liquidity & Hiking Rates at Record Pace The European Central Bank (“ECB”) Can’t Seem to Tame the “Inflation Beast”….

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January 4, 2023

Has The Market “Really” Priced in the Severity of a Likely 2023E Earnings Recession?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Metals & Mining Weekly – Focus on Recent Inflation Data as well as What China’s Disorderly Opening Means It Seems the Recently Weaker Inflation Data, While Bullish for Bonds, Could Prove Bearish for Stocks. While…

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