Renewable Energy


January 26, 2026

What do Surging Silver/Polysilicon Prices (i.e., ~9.5% of the BOM for Chinese Solar Modules) Mean for Jinko Solar’s and Canadian Solar’s Margins… and is it “Priced in”?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

What’s Up? According to PVInsights, and keeping in mind that polysilicon comprises roughly ~15% of the bill of materials (“BOM”) for a Chinese solar module, N-type recharge polysilicon prices rose ~25% y/y in 2025 –…

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January 23, 2026

Recent Solar Channel Checks Shed Light on State of Play of Demand Backdrop in Early 2026

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Bottom Line: To start 2026, Wall Street has quietly but decisively reiterated its solar optimism, though with notable selectivity. In SolarEdge (SEDG; SELL), TD Cowen broke ranks recently by upgrading the stock to Buy, chasing…

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January 16, 2026

GLJ Solar Weekly – California Solar Initiative Data Dump for Nov ’26 + Fireside Chat w/ Large US Solar Distributor + State of the Union in EU Solar Market + Conversation w/ China Solar Investor on Potential for Q1 Demand Pull-Forward

By Gordon L. Johnson II

California Solar Initiative (“CSI”) Data Sheds Light on State of Affairs for Module Level Performance Electronic (“MLPE”) Bellwethers Enphase and SolarEdge, as well as U.S. Storage Market. In this note, we provide the key takeaways from…

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January 13, 2026

Are Chinese Solar Stocks Rallying for a (really) Dumb Reason… Setting Up a “Wile E. Coyote” Moment (i.e., cliff) for the Shares in Late March?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Bottom Line. Last Thursday (link), in what can only be described as unambiguously bad news for publicly traded Chinese solar manufacturers, the CCP quietly pulled the rug out from under the industry’s economics. Effective April…

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January 9, 2026

China Solar Update: Regulators Pull the Handbrake on “Anti-Involution” Initiative

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Anti-Involution Hopes Drove Stellar Performance in Chinese Solar Stocks in 2025. China’s “anti-involution” push in solar is Beijing admitting – quietly – that endless capacity growth and price wars have produced impressive volume statistics and…

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December 8, 2025

GLJ Solar Weekly – California Solar Initiative Data Dump for Oct ’25 + Fireside Chat w/ Large US Solar Distributor + Why the US ‘TPO’ Market May Disappoint in 2026E

By Gordon L. Johnson II

California Solar Initiative (“CSI”) Data Sheds Light on State of Affairs for Module Level Performance Electronic (“MLPE”) Bellwethers Enphase and SolarEdge, as well as U.S. Storage Market. In this note, we provide the key takeaways from…

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November 19, 2025

GLJ Solar Weekly – CSI Data Dump for Sep. ’25 Sheds Light on Storage Momentum & Debunking the ‘Solar-Plus-Storage is Cheaper than Nat. Gas’ CSIQ/JKS Bull Thesis (using elementary algebra)

By Gordon L. Johnson II

California Solar Initiative (‘CSI’) Data Offers a Fairly Blunt Reality Check on the Health of the MLPE Inverter Leaders (ENPH + SEDG) as well as the Broader US Storage Market. Sep.’s data release isn’t just…

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October 16, 2025

GLJ Solar Weekly: California Solar Initiative Data Dump for Jul./Aug. ’25 – Do Historical Correlations Imply (Sizeable) Risk to ENPH’s & SEDG’s Upcoming Q3 Earnings Reports?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

California Solar Initiative (“CSI”) Data Sheds Light on State of Affairs for Module Level Performance Electronic (“MLPE”) Bellwethers Enphase and SolarEdge, as well as U.S. Solar/Storage Markets. Over the 3Q15-to-2Q25 period (i.e., 40 quarters of data),…

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October 7, 2025

Fireside Chat w/ Large Solar Distributor Sheds Light on Current “State of the Union” for Solar Sector Headed into Q3 Results

By Gordon L. Johnson II

What is the Largest Distributor of Solar Products Seeing into Year End? In the below, we provide a Q&A we had, yesterday, with the largest distributor of U.S. solar products in the world – and…

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September 8, 2025

GLJ Solar Weekly – California Solar Initiative Data Dump for June ’25 + Wood Mackenzie/SEIA Updated 2025E Solar Forecast

By Gordon L. Johnson II

California Solar Initiative (“CSI”) Data Sheds Light on State of Affairs for Module Level Performance Electronic (“MLPE”) Bellwethers Enphase and SolarEdge, as well as U.S. Storage Market. In this note, we provide the key takeaways from…

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August 27, 2025

GLJ Solar Weekly – A Detailed Look into Global Solar Demand (by Country) and What it Suggests for the Solar Sector in 2H25E & 2026E

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Global Solar Demand: An Update. We’ve reviewed the patchwork of government data, trade association reports, media anecdotes, and BloombergNEF estimates to frame where global solar demand stands heading into 2H25E and 2026E. The popular narrative…

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July 22, 2025

Fireside Chat w/ the Largest Solar Distributor in the U.S. Sheds Light on “State of the Union” at SolarEdge and Enphase (Q&A from Today Below)

By Gordon L. Johnson II

We Finally Heard Back from the Head of Mid-West, Southern, and South-West Sales at the Largest Distributor of Solar Products in the U.S. In light of Enphase’s pending 2Q25E results after the close today, we…

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July 8, 2025

GLJ Solar Weekly – California Solar Initiative Data Dump for May ’25 + Fireside Chat w/ Structured Products Trader on Appetite for Solar ABS Paper = Update on Residential Solar “State of the Union”

By Gordon L. Johnson II

California Solar Initiative (“CSI”) Data Sheds Light on State of Affairs for Module Level Performance Electronic (“MLPE”) Bellwethers Enphase and SolarEdge, as well as U.S. Storage Market. In this note, we provide the key takeaways from…

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June 24, 2025

Fireside Chat w/ Largest U.S. Solar Distributor Sheds Light onto Coming 2Q25E Solar Earnings Season; and, is Europe “Souring” on Solar, Putting Global Prices at Risk?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

How is Solar Demand Trending in the US into Q2 Earnings Season, and What’s going on in Europe? A number of market pundits are of the mindset a swath of solar companies will (likely) post…

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June 13, 2025

GLJ Solar Weekly – California Solar Initiative “Data Dump” for Apr. ’25 + Channel Checks from World’s Largest Solar Conference (SNEC in Shanghai) = Bird’s Eye View into what to Expect Ahead of 2Q25E Solar Industry Earnings

By Gordon L. Johnson II

California Solar Initiative (“CSI”) Data Sheds Light on State of Affairs for Module Level Performance Electronic (“MLPE”) Bellwethers Enphase and SolarEdge, as well as U.S. Storage Market. In this note, we provide the key takeaways from…

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