Industry Notes


January 31, 2023

Solar Snippet – Is NEM 2.0 “Pull-In” Going to Benefit 4Q22 Results & 1Q23E Guide, & Does SolarEdge Have More Resi Inverters Available?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Sell-Side Non-Deal Roadshow Last Week Points to NEM 2.0 Pull-In; Should the “Solar Bears” be Worried? In short, last week, we received a number of requests from institutional solar investors no our opinions around the…

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January 30, 2023

GLJ Global Macro Weekly – Is Core Inflation Re-Accelerating, Is Spending on Goods (Following Pandemic Binge) Fizzling Out, and Is there An Easy Explanation for the Recent Surge in “Meme” Stocks?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

While Many Claim the “Inflation Monster” has Been Slayed, with December Services Inflation Spiking and Core PCE Re-Accelerating (Balanced, Modestly, by Goods Inflation Plunging) We Foresee a More Hawkish Powell Later this Week. As is…

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January 25, 2023

Solar Pricing Update (Week of 1/25/23) – Poly-Si + Wafer + Cell Prices Muted Due to CNY; Module Prices, However, Fall

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Commentary from 1/25/23 – PVInsights. “Depressed international solar modules, muted China silicon materials during Lunar New Year holiday January 25, 2023. Polysilicon was roughly flat on Wednesday as the market in China stayed mute amid…

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January 23, 2023

Nov. California Solar Initiative Insights Into U.S. Battery Storage Trends + 2022 U.S. Solar Imports/Installs Update + State of China Solar Demand

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Solar Weekly Update – Focus on Nov. Battery Storage Data/China Demand Price Tracker. Applying a modified approach, we detail PV pricing data by substrate (Ex. 3-4), segmented by Chinese and global prices, tracked each Wednesday…

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January 18, 2023

Graphite Electrode Pricing Update (Week of 1/18/23) – Price Declines Accelerate Week-Over-Week, with 600mm UHP Prices Down -2.55%

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Graphite Electrode Prices Give Back (Even More) of the Recent Gains. Below, in Ex. 1, we provide 2023 (i.e., WoW, MoM, YoY, and YTD) pricing gyrations for a number of different graphite electrode substrates in…

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January 18, 2023

Solar Pricing Update (Week of 1/18/23) – Poly-Si + Wafer + Cell Prices Rebound on Wafer Capacity Cuts; Module Prices, However, Miss the Rally

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Commentary from 1/18/23 – PVInsights. “Bullish wafer prices through production cuts lead cell and polysilicon upwards January 18, 2023. Polysilicon prices in China turned higher on Wednesday as strengthening wafer pricing buoyed sentiment, while Chinese…

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January 12, 2023

Do Planned 2023E Shipments from the World’s Top-6 Global Solar Cell Makers, Alone, Suggest a “Price War for the Ages” is About to Erupt?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Solar Weekly Update – Focus on Module Oversupply & Potential Price War Price Tracker. Applying a modified approach, we detail PV pricing data by substrate (Ex. 3-4), segmented by Chinese and global prices, tracked each Wednesday…

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January 11, 2023

Graphite Electrode Pricing Update (Week of 1/11/13) – UHP 600mm Chinese GE Prices Tumble -3.29% Week-Over-Week, Giving Back Some (More Recent) Gains

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Graphite Electrode Prices Give Back Some of the More Recent Gains. Below, in Ex. 1, we provide 2023 (i.e., WoW, MoM, YoY, and YTD) pricing gyrations for a number of different graphite electrode substrates in…

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January 11, 2023

Solar Pricing Update (Week of 1/11/23) Domestic Chinese Solar Prices Join in “Market Crash”, w/ Poly-Si Falling -24.86% Week-Over-Week

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Commentary from 1/11/23 – PVInsights. Cell and wafer prices rebound unexpectedly on Strong CNY, but module competition intensifies, sending prices lower. Polysilicon prices kept tumbling this week, unable to shake off the downbeat mood of…

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January 8, 2023

Euro Zone Inflation (Excl. Energy) Just Hit a New Record as Did Services Inflation; ECB Reacts w/ Record Withdrawal of Liquidity (this is Bad for Risk Assets)

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Metals & Mining Weekly – The ECB Reacts to Surging Inflation by Draining Huge Chunk of Liquidity & Hiking Rates at Record Pace The European Central Bank (“ECB”) Can’t Seem to Tame the “Inflation Beast”….

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January 4, 2023

Has The Market “Really” Priced in the Severity of a Likely 2023E Earnings Recession?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Metals & Mining Weekly – Focus on Recent Inflation Data as well as What China’s Disorderly Opening Means It Seems the Recently Weaker Inflation Data, While Bullish for Bonds, Could Prove Bearish for Stocks. While…

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