Our Research


April 20, 2026

Leverage to Scale: Initiating coverage on Data Center Fabrication E&Cs FIX, LGN, & ECG

By Austin Wang

We initiate coverage on FIX (BUY), LGN (BUY), and ECG (HOLD) at a time of pivotal change as data center proliferation promps longtime installation and construction companies to retool towards becoming contract manufacturers. Customer concentration…

Read More >>

April 17, 2026

Sunrun (RUN) – Supply Chain Channel Check Points to Demand Air Pocket; Structural Questions Emerge on Residential Solar Business Model

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Summary We conducted a channel check with a senior executive at APsystems (APS), a tier-one microinverter and module-level power electronics (MLPE) supplier to the US residential solar market. The conversation followed the Chapter 11 bankruptcy…

Read More >>

April 16, 2026

Sunrun (RUN) – Freedom Forever Bankruptcy Validates GLJ Solar Resi Bear Thesis: Affiliate Channel Collapse Exposes Structural Vulnerabilities

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Investment Summary The Chapter 11 bankruptcy filing of Freedom Forever, LLC on April 15, 2026, coupled with the Texas Attorney General fraud investigation into Sunrun and Freedom Forever, LLC (for violations of the Deceptive Trade…

Read More >>

April 16, 2026

US Petroleum Inventory Alert: The U.S. “Energy Independence” Narrative Is Misleading — Crude Drawdown Risk Is Real and Imminent; Higher Energy Prices Will Drive Rates Higher, Threatening Rate-Sensitive Solar Stocks

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Investment Conclusion The US is Not “Energy Independent”. The widely-promoted narrative that the United States is energy-independent and capable of replacing Persian Gulf crude flows is analytically incorrect and, in our view, is creating dangerous…

Read More >>

April 15, 2026

ShovelCheck: If the Section 232 tree falls in a customer-concentrated forest…

By Austin Wang

Updated Section 232 tariffs are guidance pulls for companies in other sectors, driving inbounds around price action in our space. We reached out to data center OEMs and EPCs across and outside our universe today;…

Read More >>

April 15, 2026

Metals & Mining Weekly: Nothing Can Stop the “US HRC Spot Price Momentum Train”… at Least for Now

By Gordon L. Johnson II

LME Metal Prices Surge Higher vs. Previous Close: Yesterday, Copper +2.16% to $6.02/lb; aluminum +1.19% to $1.65/lb; nickel +3.03% to $9.25/lb; zinc +0.72% to $1.57/lb; lead +0.09% to $1.10/lb; gold +2.14% to $4,842/oz; silver +5.22% to…

Read More >>

April 13, 2026

JinkoSolar (JKS) 4Q25 Preview: Our Cost Driver Model Suggests a “Margin Shocker” is on Tap for JKS’ 1Q26E Guidance

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Investment Thesis Ahead of JKS’s 4Q25 Earnings Report This Thursday, Updating Our Bottom-Up Cost Driver Model for Intra-Quarter Commodity Prices, Global Demand Data, and Our On-the-Ground U.S. Installer Channel Checks, We See a Sizeable Guidance…

Read More >>

April 8, 2026

Tesla (TSLA) – The Options-Driven Mirage – What Happens When the Gamma Fuel “Runs Dry”?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Executive Summary This note presents evidence that Tesla’s (TSLA) share price has been significantly and systematically elevated over the past six years by an options market structure uniquely dependent on aggressive retail call buying —…

Read More >>

April 6, 2026

Global Macro Strategy: The Iran Macro Playbook; Phase 2 Confirmed; Strait of Hormuz Remains Closed; Six-Week CPI Trigger Now Printing (Fed Policy Trap Has Closed)

By Gordon L. Johnson II

INVESTMENT SUMMARY GLJ Research reiterates its Four-Phase Iran Macro Playbook framework. As of April 6, 2026, Phase 1 is closed and Phase 2 is fully confirmed. The April 10 CPI print — the Six-Week Trigger…

Read More >>

April 3, 2026

Argan (AGX, BUY) – F4Q Review: Margins don’t roll-forward, but execution does – BUY, PT to $704

By Austin Wang

Trumbull early completion drove F4Q headline OMs 18.2% to beat the Street at 12.7%, but management has been very clear that the outsized contribution of a single early close-out simply validates CCGT EPC unit economics…

Read More >>

April 2, 2026

Tesla (TSLA) – 1Q26 Deliveries Flash: Demand Weakness Hidden in Plain Sight

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Record Inventory Build, Energy Storage Collapse, and a Robotaxi Program Losing Its Engineering Leadership Ahead of Purported Launch Reinforce Our Sell Thesis GLJ Research View GLJ Research View Tesla’s 1Q26 delivery report is materially worse…

Read More >>

April 2, 2026

Flash Note: Residential Solar — Channel Check Highlights Installer Disruption Risk (TSLA’s -40% 1Q26 Storage Seg. Volume Miss Confirms GLJ’s CSI Data Published this Morning)

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Bottom Line A channel check this morning between PV Magazine‘s head editor and GLJ Research, LLC surfaces two converging threats to incumbent residential solar installers: (1) rising interest rates are killing the high-pressure sales model, and (2) DIY “backyard solar” formats…

Read More >>

April 2, 2026

California Solar Initiative — February 2026 Data Update

By Gordon L. Johnson II

investment Conclusion February 2026 CSI data paints a bearish picture across virtually every metric we track — and introduces a new, critical data point that fundamentally alters the storage investment narrative: Tesla’s CA residential storage…

Read More >>

March 31, 2026

Metals & Mining Weekly: Supply Tightness Peaking, War Premium Enters the Equation

By Gordon L. Johnson II

LME Metal Prices Mostly Higher Today vs. Previous Close: Today, Copper +0.94% to $5.57/lb; aluminum +0.94% to $1.62/lb; nickel -0.39% to $9.02/lb; zinc +0.66% to $1.55/lb; lead +0.35% to $1.08/lb; gold +3.70% to $4,678/oz; silver +7.22%…

Read More >>

March 31, 2026

Sunrun (RUN) Channel Check – Reading the Remittance Data: What 60% CNLs and 10% Recovery Rates Mean for Sunrun’s Next Deal

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Investment Thesis The March 20, 2026 Intex/Guggenheim ABS surveillance data (Ex. 4) — reviewed and confirmed through a proprietary channel discussion with a senior structured products professional — is the most important document in the…

Read More >>