Industry Notes


October 16, 2025

GLJ Solar Weekly: California Solar Initiative Data Dump for Jul./Aug. ’25 – Do Historical Correlations Imply (Sizeable) Risk to ENPH’s & SEDG’s Upcoming Q3 Earnings Reports?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

California Solar Initiative (“CSI”) Data Sheds Light on State of Affairs for Module Level Performance Electronic (“MLPE”) Bellwethers Enphase and SolarEdge, as well as U.S. Solar/Storage Markets. Over the 3Q15-to-2Q25 period (i.e., 40 quarters of data),…

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October 8, 2025

Picks & Shovels: Secretary of Energy on data centers, liquid cooling product launch

By Austin Wang

Secretary of Energy stresses need for collocated power in media appearance. A Vertiv rival held a launch event reintroducing an expanded liquid cooling suite for AI / HPC applications. Vertiv announces the impending appointment of…

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October 7, 2025

Fireside Chat w/ Large Solar Distributor Sheds Light on Current “State of the Union” for Solar Sector Headed into Q3 Results

By Gordon L. Johnson II

What is the Largest Distributor of Solar Products Seeing into Year End? In the below, we provide a Q&A we had, yesterday, with the largest distributor of U.S. solar products in the world – and…

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October 3, 2025

Picks & Shovels: Matador, Siemens Energy 2GW gas order, GEV Onshore Wind order

By Austin Wang

Fermi S-11 sets extremely ambitious timeline for gas & nuclear generation deployments, discloses possible PRIM involvement. Xcel Energy has purchased 2GW in gas generation from GEV competitor Siemens Energy to serve load growth in TX,…

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September 25, 2025

GLJ Macro Update – Looking at the “Three Horsemen” of U.S. Equity Market Momentum (CTA Flows + Vol Fund Flows + Liquidity), What’s in Store for the Next Few Days/Weeks?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

What’s the Macro Trading Set-Up Headed into September Month-End? In general, into month-end, we believe the market is being steered by three forces – and none of them are fundamentals. That is, barring a surprise…

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September 24, 2025

Metals & Mining Snapshot (“The Daily Smelt”): September 24

By Gordon L. Johnson II

LME metal prices mostly lower vs. previous close. Copper flat at $4.50/lb; Nickel +0.19% to $7.73/lb; Aluminum -0.19% to $1.32/lb; Zinc -0.35% to $1.39/lb; Lead -0.46% to $1.08/lb; Gold -0.07% to $3,762/oz; silver -0.33% to $44/oz;…

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September 22, 2025

Capacity is King: Initiating coverage on Generation E&Cs PRIM & AGX

By Austin Wang

We initiate coverage on solar & gas generation E&Cs Primoris (PRIM $121.94, BUY) and Argan (AGX $259.58, HOLD) at a time when E&Cs are seeing unprecedented pricing power. The conversation is shifting now from if…

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September 15, 2025

Metals & Mining Snapshot (“The Daily Smelt”): September 15

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Our Inaugural Metals & Mining Daily Snapshot. Welcome to the first edition of our Metals & Mining Daily Snapshot. Starting tomorrow, you’ll have this in your inbox at 7am every morning – think of it…

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September 8, 2025

GLJ Solar Weekly – California Solar Initiative Data Dump for June ’25 + Wood Mackenzie/SEIA Updated 2025E Solar Forecast

By Gordon L. Johnson II

California Solar Initiative (“CSI”) Data Sheds Light on State of Affairs for Module Level Performance Electronic (“MLPE”) Bellwethers Enphase and SolarEdge, as well as U.S. Storage Market. In this note, we provide the key takeaways from…

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September 4, 2025

Steel Industry Monitor: Waiting for an ‘Upturn’, While Reality Keeps Delivering ‘Flatlines’

By Gordon L. Johnson II

What’s Inside? Twenty-three exhibits capturing the core industry trends that will likely dictate North American steel pricing in the months ahead. Conclusion. Spot HRC prices have held mostly steady over the past two weeks, but…

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August 27, 2025

GLJ Solar Weekly – A Detailed Look into Global Solar Demand (by Country) and What it Suggests for the Solar Sector in 2H25E & 2026E

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Global Solar Demand: An Update. We’ve reviewed the patchwork of government data, trade association reports, media anecdotes, and BloombergNEF estimates to frame where global solar demand stands heading into 2H25E and 2026E. The popular narrative…

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August 14, 2025

GLJ Macro Update – That’s a Nice Bull Market You’ve Got There… Be a Shame if “Liquidity” Happened to It

By Gordon L. Johnson II

For the First Time Since 2018, w/ the Fed’s QE Slush Fund (i.e., the “RRP”) Now Nearly Empty, Treasury Issuance Has to Come From Bank Reserves; Are Equity Bulls Overlooking This? Liquidity fell in 2022…

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July 22, 2025

Fireside Chat w/ the Largest Solar Distributor in the U.S. Sheds Light on “State of the Union” at SolarEdge and Enphase (Q&A from Today Below)

By Gordon L. Johnson II

We Finally Heard Back from the Head of Mid-West, Southern, and South-West Sales at the Largest Distributor of Solar Products in the U.S. In light of Enphase’s pending 2Q25E results after the close today, we…

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July 18, 2025

GLJ Macro Weekly – Is the U.S. Treasury’s Next Move Likely to Drain Liquidity, Suggesting Risk to the U.S. Equity Bull Market Run?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

A Material Amount of Liquidity Appears Likely to be Drawn Out of U.S. Equity Markets Near-Term. As a reminder to our readers, during negotiations before the debt ceiling was raised with the One Big Beautiful…

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July 8, 2025

GLJ Solar Weekly – California Solar Initiative Data Dump for May ’25 + Fireside Chat w/ Structured Products Trader on Appetite for Solar ABS Paper = Update on Residential Solar “State of the Union”

By Gordon L. Johnson II

California Solar Initiative (“CSI”) Data Sheds Light on State of Affairs for Module Level Performance Electronic (“MLPE”) Bellwethers Enphase and SolarEdge, as well as U.S. Storage Market. In this note, we provide the key takeaways from…

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