Industry Notes


June 30, 2026

US Solar Inverter Industry Update: Right Headline, Wrong Stocks

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Washington is drafting a ban on Chinese inverters. ENPH (+12%) and SEDG (+10%) are ripping in the pre-market. One problem: the ban targets the one part of the market these two barely touch (i.e., utility-scale)….

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June 24, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 6/24/2026

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Please see bottom of report for important disclosures Gordon L. Johnson/GLJ Research LLC ————————————————– Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$36,485/ton = $5.15/kg) – down 0.1% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT….

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June 23, 2026

Metals & Mining Weekly: Nucor Hits Pause After 22 Straight Weeks of Hikes — Is the Top In?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

LME Metal Prices Mostly Higher vs. Previous Close: Yesterday, Copper -0.70% to $6.15/lb; aluminum +0.43% to $1.61/lb; nickel -2.05% to $8.98/lb; zinc -0.68% to $1.65/lb; lead -0.66% to $1.09/lb; gold +0.86% to $4,191/oz; silver +0.45%…

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June 17, 2026

GLJ Macro Weekly: R.I.P. Fed Put — Warsh Picks Up Volcker’s Stick

By Gordon L. Johnson II

The Bernanke–Powell asset-price backstop is (seemingly) being dismantled in real time. The regime has changed — so the market may be forced to price the end of the put. Our Take WHAT HAPPENED: At his…

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June 17, 2026

Fireside Chat w/ Large US Solar Distributor Sheds Light on Solar’s “State of the Union” Ahead of 2Q26E Results as 25D Sunsets and the July 4 Safe-Harbor Cliff Comes Into View

By Gordon L. Johnson II

What Is the Channel Seeing Three Weeks Ahead of the July 4 Safe-Harbor Deadline? Below, we provide a Q&A we had today with Krannich — one of the largest global distributors of solar products, with…

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June 17, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 6/17/2026: Solar Price Collapse Accelerates as: Silver Price Fall + Still Weakening Global Demand = Price “Nightmare on Elm Street” Scenario

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Please see bottom of report for important disclosures Gordon L. Johnson/GLJ Research LLC ————————————————– Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$36,525/ton = $5.18/kg) – up 1.2% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT….

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June 11, 2026

SEDG/ENPH/RUN – Consensus Forecasts “Sunny Skies” in 2H26 for Resi Solar; Wood Mackenzie Says Down ~40%; One of them is Wrong; we Rate all Three SELL

By Gordon L. Johnson II

The Thesis, in One Breath Wood Mackenzie and SEIA forecast U.S. residential solar installations fall -21% y/y in 2026 (link). Therefore, when incorporating the consensus forecast that installs rise +5% y/y in 2Q26 — demand…

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June 10, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 6/10/2026: Solar Prices (across all substrates) Implode Coming out of China’s SNEC 19th Int’l PV Power Generation & Smart Energy Conf. June 3rd-5th

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Please see bottom of report for important disclosures Gordon L. Johnson/GLJ Research LLC ————————————————– Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$36,100/ton = $5.11/kg) – down 1.4% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT.Source:…

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June 3, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 6/3/2026

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Please see bottom of report for important disclosures Gordon L. Johnson/GLJ Research LLC ————————————————– Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$36,605/ton = $5.18/kg) – down 0.3% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT….

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June 2, 2026

California Solar Initiative — April 2026 Data: The February Scare Was (Mostly) Noise

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Volumes rebounded to 208MW. Tesla’s storage share snapped back to 61%, fully retracing the February dip. And the inverter duopoly has split cleanly in two — Enphase owns what’s left of residential, SolarEdge survives only…

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May 28, 2026

Solar Weekly – China Installs Fall -78.9% Y/Y; APsystems Channel Check Confirms US “Down More Than 50% Nationwide”; OBBBA July 4 Cliff Looms — Reiterate Cautious Global Solar Fundamental View

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Bottom Line We have covered the solar complex across three full cycles — the 2011–2013 polysilicon bust, the 2018–2019 China “531” subsidy collapse, and the 2023–2024 distributor inventory disaster. The pattern is repeating. China telegraphs…

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May 27, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 5/27/2026

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Please see bottom of report for important disclosures Gordon L. Johnson/GLJ Research LLC ————————————————– Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$36,730/ton = $5.19/kg) – down 0.9% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT….

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May 20, 2026

Metals & Mining Weekly: Fortress Europe, Build America – Twin Policy Tailwinds Meet a Wobbling Demand Signal

By Gordon L. Johnson II

LME Metal Prices Mostly Higher vs. Previous Close: Today, Copper -1.09% to $6.07/lb; aluminum +0.30% to $1.63/lb; nickel +1.05% to $9.56/lb; zinc -0.19% to $1.63/lb; lead -0.01% to $1.10/lb; gold +1.39% to $4,545/oz; silver +3.47%…

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May 20, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 5/20/2026

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Please see bottom of report for important disclosures Gordon L. Johnson/GLJ Research LLC ————————————————– Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$37,055/ton = $5.22/kg) – down 0.4% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT….

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May 19, 2026

California Solar Initiative — March 2026 Data Update & Fireside Chat With C-Level US Distribution Bellwether

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Investment Conclusion March 2026 CSI data does something the February dataset did not: it forces us to update our priors with intellectual honesty. The single most important data point we flagged in our April 2…

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