March 26, 2026
Investment Thesis GLJ Research conducted a structured expert channel check with a Chief Sales Officer at Krannich Solar — one of the largest solar equipment distributors in North America — to stress-test our below-consensus bear…
March 25, 2026
Investment Summary Twenty-five days after the US/Israel launched strikes against Iran on February 28, 2026, GLJ Research’s Four-Phase Iran Macro Playbook is tracking with near-precision fidelity. We are now at the inflection point of Phase…
March 23, 2026
Investment Summary Nearly four weeks into what GLJ Research assesses as a structurally durable Middle East conflict (i.e., the US/Israel launched their initial strikes against Iran 2/28/26), markets are materially mispricing both the duration and…
March 23, 2026
Investment Thesis (A.) The Event — The Anti-Involution Premium Is Gone. As of today’s close (March 23, 2026), the dominant polysilicon futures contract on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange settled at ¥35,435/MT, down ¥3,130 (-8.12%) on…
March 19, 2026
What the Chart Shows — and Why It Matters The dominant polysilicon futures contract (多晶硅主连) closed today at ¥38,550/MT, down ¥2,360 (-5.77%) on the session alone, on volume of 13,502 contracts. The intraday range of…
March 19, 2026
(a) The Quarter – A Clean Miss Dressed Up in Project Asset Language Q4 revenue of $1.217B missed the $1.355B Consensus estimate by ~10% — a wide miss for what is supposed to be a…
March 18, 2026
Investment Thesis We reiterate our SELL rating on JinkoSolar (JKS US) and adjust our 2026E yr-end PT modestly higher to $12.10 (-51% downside) from $10.15 prior on our updated estimates. The March 12, 2026 PV…
March 16, 2026
Investment Thesis – Estimate & Macro Update We reiterate our SELL rating on CLF and keep our 12-month price target flat at $9.42/share — reflecting the February 10 GLJ update note valuation methodology (13.0x 2026E…
March 16, 2026
Investment Thesis – Management Feedback We had a chance to catch up with Nextpower management (IR contact: Sarah Lee) on March 13, 2026 for a 36-minute discussion covering eight topics spanning the company’s product strategy,…
March 13, 2026
Investment Thesis California Solar Initiative (“CSI”) January 2026 data delivers a verdict across two distinct dimensions: (1) the post-ITC pull-forward hangover is confirmed, with the MLPE duopoly’s inverter and storage share erosion accelerating; and (2)…
March 12, 2026
Austin FSD Rollout Failure: Fleet Collapse, Crash Data & Management Exodus EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This update incorporates three new data layers since our June 5th, 2025 initial Austin note: (1) NHTSA-sourced crash rate analysis confirming Tesla’s…
March 11, 2026
LME Metal Prices Mixed Today vs. Previous Close: Today, Copper +1.34% to $5.92/lb; aluminum +2.25% to $1.66/lb; nickel -1.29% to $9.32/lb; zinc +0.11% to $1.61/lb; lead -0.17% to $1.10/lb; gold -0.23% to $5,180/oz; silver -1.90% to…
March 10, 2026
The Supermarket Thesis The core insight is structural, not cyclical: NXT’s customers are consolidating, and NXT is one of the only vendors with the execution capability to consolidate their SKUs vertically. This is a supermarket…
March 4, 2026
Investment Thesis FSLR 4Q25 Earnings: Ugly Guide, but the Real Story is What Comes Next The headline: 2026 guidance was a meaningful miss across every metric – revenue, volumes, and EBITDA – and it wasn’t…
March 3, 2026
Investment Thesis Sunrun is materially overvalued on any rigorous DCF construction – the stock is pricing in an outcome that the underlying cash flow trajectory does not support. Our $6.73 price target is anchored to…