Our Research


July 2, 2026

ShovelCheck: Equipment orders at private OEMs power out of 1H

By Austin Wang

Private data center OEMs we spoke with emphasized strong exit-rates on 1H order trends with hyperscaler and neocloud clients, in defiance of recent narratives fit to choppy moves across our names. We break apart reads…

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July 1, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 7/1/2026: Cost Support Weakens, Downward Price Pressure Persists Across the Solar PV Supply Chain

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Please see bottom of report for important disclosures Gordon L. Johnson/GLJ Research LLC ————————————————– Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$35,820/ton = $5.07/kg) – down 1.8% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT….

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July 1, 2026

Fluence Energy, Inc. (FLNC) – Batteries Included, Transformers Sold Separately; Initiating at BUY (High Risk); $26/shr Year-End Price Objective

By Gordon L. Johnson II

The grid is short on reserve margin. AI is the reason. Fluence sells the cure — proven batteries, not “PowerPoint” transformers. Trade construction: Own FLNC outright (high-risk long), and/or express it as a relative-value pair…

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June 30, 2026

US Solar Inverter Industry Update: Right Headline, Wrong Stocks

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Washington is drafting a ban on Chinese inverters. ENPH (+12%) and SEDG (+10%) are ripping in the pre-market. One problem: the ban targets the one part of the market these two barely touch (i.e., utility-scale)….

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June 29, 2026

Sunrun (RUN) – The June 2026 vs. April 2026 Solar ABS Remittance Reports are the “Tell”

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Solar-loan ABS is repricing in real time. Sunrun doesn’t appear anywhere in the data below — which is exactly why the read-through is being mispriced. The reports aren’t about Sunrun’s loans. They’re about the cost…

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June 29, 2026

Legence (LGN, BUY) – Co-vendor checks + STRL reads emphasize future rate-of-change – 2Q Preview – PT to $122

By Austin Wang

We reiterate our BUY rating with LGN holding pre-1Q levels despite stronger fundamentals. Our checks with co-vendors and CEO-validated reads from competitor Sterling (STRL, not rated) emphasize strong 2H bookings rate-of-change even as former owner…

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June 24, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 6/24/2026

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Please see bottom of report for important disclosures Gordon L. Johnson/GLJ Research LLC ————————————————– Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$36,485/ton = $5.15/kg) – down 0.1% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT….

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June 24, 2026

Sunrun (RUN) – 16 Gigawatts of Marketing, ~4 Gigawatts of Battery, and Not Much Else

By Gordon L. Johnson II

What you Need to Know. This morning Sunrun, Renew Home and Tesla announced a framework to deliver “more than 16 GW” of flexible capacity to hyperscalers and utilities. The number is engineered for a press…

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June 23, 2026

Metals & Mining Weekly: Nucor Hits Pause After 22 Straight Weeks of Hikes — Is the Top In?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

LME Metal Prices Mostly Higher vs. Previous Close: Yesterday, Copper -0.70% to $6.15/lb; aluminum +0.43% to $1.61/lb; nickel -2.05% to $8.98/lb; zinc -0.68% to $1.65/lb; lead -0.66% to $1.09/lb; gold +0.86% to $4,191/oz; silver +0.45%…

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June 18, 2026

Minimill 2Q26 Guides: A High-Quality Miss and a Low-Quality Beat

By Gordon L. Johnson II

STLD “misses” and NUE “beats” — but strip the one-offs and both print light; the read-through for Cleveland-Cliffs (“CLF”) and for 2H HRC is more nuanced than the headlines, with the import data the swing…

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June 18, 2026

Vertiv (VRT, HOLD) – Colocation + Cooling OEM checks demand a new look – Upgrade to HOLD

By Austin Wang

We are upgrading Vertiv to HOLD – CoolIt’s recent breakthrough with a 15kW cold plate extends the viability of Vertiv’s single-phase DC cooling offering well into the 2030’s even as we reevaluate our thesis after…

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June 17, 2026

GLJ Macro Weekly: R.I.P. Fed Put — Warsh Picks Up Volcker’s Stick

By Gordon L. Johnson II

The Bernanke–Powell asset-price backstop is (seemingly) being dismantled in real time. The regime has changed — so the market may be forced to price the end of the put. Our Take WHAT HAPPENED: At his…

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June 17, 2026

Fireside Chat w/ Large US Solar Distributor Sheds Light on Solar’s “State of the Union” Ahead of 2Q26E Results as 25D Sunsets and the July 4 Safe-Harbor Cliff Comes Into View

By Gordon L. Johnson II

What Is the Channel Seeing Three Weeks Ahead of the July 4 Safe-Harbor Deadline? Below, we provide a Q&A we had today with Krannich — one of the largest global distributors of solar products, with…

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June 17, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 6/17/2026: Solar Price Collapse Accelerates as: Silver Price Fall + Still Weakening Global Demand = Price “Nightmare on Elm Street” Scenario

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Please see bottom of report for important disclosures Gordon L. Johnson/GLJ Research LLC ————————————————– Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$36,525/ton = $5.18/kg) – up 1.2% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT….

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June 16, 2026

ShovelCheck: CoolIt’s Cold Plate Breakthrough Assures Vera Rubin Future for Single-Phase D2C Cooling Incumbents

By Austin Wang

Our cooling vendor checks emphasize that CoolIt’s recent announcement of a 15kW cold plate assures years of viability for single-phase D2C liquid cooling vs. refrigerant driven two-phase. We examine reads across our coverage at Vertiv…

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