Our Research


December 3, 2025

3Q25 Results Disappointed on Sales Timing; Yet Strong Q4 Guide and the “Sprott Put” Keep us BUY Rated; PT Edges Higher to C$99.74/shr

By Gordon L. Johnson II

What Happened in Q3? CCJ served up a quarter that fell sharply short of expectations – Q3 adj. EBITDA missed our estimate by 8% – and the culprit isn’t exactly mysterious. Uranium and fuel-services sales…

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November 28, 2025

Picks & Shovels: PRIM client advances 200 MW solar project, VRT unveils CAT partnership

By Austin Wang

While we have yet to confirm Primoris’ involvement on the project, Primoris client DESRI received a green light from local regulators to proceed with 200 MW solar + BESS project Coyote Creek in Sacramento County,…

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November 26, 2025

Metals & Mining Weekly: Prices Likely Have Further Upside from Here on Lackluster Imports + Seasonal Maintenance (steel stocks likely to continue to outperform)

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Bottom Line Current Situation. Over the last two weeks, spot HRC has done exactly what the setup suggested – it’s drifted higher, up roughly 5%, with today’s +5.4% d/d surge to $900/st marking the strongest…

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November 26, 2025

ERATTUM: GEV Rating is Buy; earlier said Sell in error Picks & Shovels: AMZN announces $15bn Indiana expansion

By Austin Wang

Amazon announces an incremental $15bn investment in Northern Indiana, sponsoring another 3 GW of power generation capacity to support 2.4 GW of new data centers. GEV ($572.56, Buy) – AMZN to invest $15bn in Indiana…

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November 25, 2025

AGX – F3Q Preview: Focusing beyond the bookings, PT to $447

By Austin Wang

Argan will report F3Q’26 earnings next Thursday, Dec. 4th, after market close; we see the focus very much on Power Services order $’s for pricing read-thru but also on management’s commentary on a compelling opportunity…

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November 25, 2025

How Q4 Car Deliveries Shaping up with Nearly Two-Thirds of the Quarter Over & is Tesla’s GAAP Earnings at Risk of Turning Negative?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Just How ‘Good’ – or More Accurately, How Bad – Are Tesla’s Auto Sales Trending With Nearly Two Months of Q4 Now in the Rearview? When we strip out the optimism, the spin, and the…

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November 23, 2025

Argan (AGX, BUY) – CEO 1×1 takeaways + feedback on our upgrade, reit BUY

By Austin Wang

We sat down with Argan CEO David Watson to discuss our recent upgrade of Argan shares as intra-regional staffing demonstrates upside to management’s previously messaged ceiling on gas generation upside. Management validated our thesis, emphasizing…

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November 21, 2025

Picks & Shovels: GOOGL announces $40bn for 3 data centers in TX, GEV Onshore Wind

By Austin Wang

GOOGL announces $40bn for 3 data centers in TX. Argan begins construction on Basin Ranch. SunZia takes delivery of GEV Onshore Wind turbines. AGX ($353.30, BUY) – Google commit $40bn to Texas (link) Google (GOOGL,…

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November 21, 2025

Is the Set-Up for US Markets into Next Week’s Holiday-Shortened Period “Surreptitiously” Bearish

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Is the U.S. Stock Market at Risk of a More Accelerated Sell-Off Next Week (given just 3.5 trading days)? In this note, when looking at: (a) the correlation between Bitcoin (“XBTUSD”) and the Invesco QQQ…

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November 21, 2025

Metals & Mining Weekly: Does Surge in SMU Mill Order Index + Rising US HRC Lead Times = Light at the End of the ‘Steel Fundamentals Tunnel’?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

LME Metal Prices Mixed vs. Yesterday’s Close. Copper -0.06% to $4.87/lb; aluminum +0.15% to $1.37/lb; nickel +0.37% to $7.54/lb; zinc +0.01% to $1.43/lb; lead +0.13% to $1.10/lb; gold -0.02% to $4,077/oz; silver -1.35% to $50.66/oz; platinum…

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November 19, 2025

GLJ Solar Weekly – CSI Data Dump for Sep. ’25 Sheds Light on Storage Momentum & Debunking the ‘Solar-Plus-Storage is Cheaper than Nat. Gas’ CSIQ/JKS Bull Thesis (using elementary algebra)

By Gordon L. Johnson II

California Solar Initiative (‘CSI’) Data Offers a Fairly Blunt Reality Check on the Health of the MLPE Inverter Leaders (ENPH + SEDG) as well as the Broader US Storage Market. Sep.’s data release isn’t just…

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November 14, 2025

CSIQ Q3 Review: Does Canadian Solar’s “Brazen” 2026 Outlook Position it as an Even Better Short?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

What Happened? Yesterday, due mainly to a few unexpected storage project sales, CSIQ reported Q3 rev/non-GAAP EPS of $1.5bn/-$0.58 vs. GLJe $1.5bn/-$0.41 (Cons. $1.4bn/-$0.53), and e-STORAGE sales of 2.7GWh (above its guidance of 2.1-2.3GWh). Yet,…

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November 14, 2025

ShovelCheck: AGX linked with new CCGT project for West Virginia

By Austin Wang

FirstEnergy proposes a 1.2 GW CCGT & 70 MW of utility-scale solar in West Virginia. Blackstone commits $1.2bn to develop 600 MW greenfield CCGT in West Virginia. Schneider Electric brings new Energy Management capacity online…

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November 13, 2025

Metals & Mining Weekly Update: US Spot HRC Prices Are Edging Higher; Yet Higher Domestic Output & Weak Demand Suggest Typical Seasonal Upside will be “Capped”

By Gordon L. Johnson II

LME Metal Prices Mostly Higher vs. Yesterday’s Close. Copper +0.22% to $4.91/lb; aluminum +0.44% to $1.38/lb; nickel -0.57% to $7.71/lb; zinc -0.18% to $1.44/lb; lead +0.48% to $1.12/lb; gold +1.66% to $4,195/oz; silver +3.96% to $53.25/oz;…

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November 13, 2025

Primoris (PRIM, BUY): Breaking apart the bookings blip – 3Q Refresh

By Austin Wang

PRIM posted a 0.7x trailing 12 months book-to-bill to overshadow a safe-harbor driven beat-and-raise quarter. On the call, management cited policy uncertainty. Clients we speak with seem to be moving to the sidelines, but we…

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