Our Research


January 23, 2026

Recent Solar Channel Checks Shed Light on State of Play of Demand Backdrop in Early 2026

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Bottom Line: To start 2026, Wall Street has quietly but decisively reiterated its solar optimism, though with notable selectivity. In SolarEdge (SEDG; SELL), TD Cowen broke ranks recently by upgrading the stock to Buy, chasing…

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January 22, 2026

Metals & Mining Weekly: Metals Mostly Firmer as U.S. Sheet Tightens, Plate Lags, and Iron Ore Slips

By Gordon L. Johnson II

LME Metal Prices Mostly Higher vs. Previous Close. Copper +0.17% to $5.79/lb; aluminum +0.32% to $1.56/lb; nickel +0.31% to $9.49/lb; zinc +0.61% to $1.58/lb; lead +0.11% to $1.11/lb; gold -0.20% to $4,822/oz; silver +0.58% to $93.59/oz;…

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January 21, 2026

Picks & Shovels: GEV replaces Power GM, VRT unveils <100kW density solution, AMZN buys BK solar + storage project, more CCGT prints

By Austin Wang

GE Vernova announced that Mavi Zingoni, GM of its Power division, has resigned to be replaced by Gas Power GM Eric Gray. Vertiv announced new modular cooling solution for <100kW racks. Amazon buys shovel-ready 1.2GW+1.2GW…

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January 18, 2026

GE Vernova (BUY) – Mexico awards continue gas power pricing power

By Austin Wang

A recent study conducted by state-owned utility CFE noted that the estimated cost of building 4 combined-cycle gas turbines (CCGT) had risen by 66% since six months prior (we understand this to be July to…

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January 16, 2026

GLJ Solar Weekly – California Solar Initiative Data Dump for Nov ’26 + Fireside Chat w/ Large US Solar Distributor + State of the Union in EU Solar Market + Conversation w/ China Solar Investor on Potential for Q1 Demand Pull-Forward

By Gordon L. Johnson II

California Solar Initiative (“CSI”) Data Sheds Light on State of Affairs for Module Level Performance Electronic (“MLPE”) Bellwethers Enphase and SolarEdge, as well as U.S. Storage Market. In this note, we provide the key takeaways from…

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January 15, 2026

Picks & Shovels: VRT competitor closes funding round, new data center planned for Little Rock, AK

By Austin Wang

Two-phase liquid cooling leader Accelsius closes $65mm of Series B funding at an unknown valuation, led by Johnson Controls ($35mm) and Legrand ($30mm). VRT ($172.39, SELL) – Liquid cooling entrant receives VC funding for Austin,…

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January 15, 2026

Metals & Mining Weekly: HRC vs. Prime Spread Widens Further in January

By Gordon L. Johnson II

LME Metal Prices Surged Higher Yesterday. Copper -0.13% to $6.00/lb; aluminum +1.22% to $1.61/lb; nickel +0.59% to $9.56/lb; zinc +0.67% to $1.59/lb; lead +0.33% to $1.13/lb; gold +0.87% to $4,626/oz; silver +6.70% to $92.78/oz; platinum +2.57%…

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January 13, 2026

Are Chinese Solar Stocks Rallying for a (really) Dumb Reason… Setting Up a “Wile E. Coyote” Moment (i.e., cliff) for the Shares in Late March?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Bottom Line. Last Thursday (link), in what can only be described as unambiguously bad news for publicly traded Chinese solar manufacturers, the CCP quietly pulled the rug out from under the industry’s economics. Effective April…

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January 12, 2026

Cleveland Cliffs: Still the Worst House in a “Troubled” Neighborhood; Reiterate SELL, PT Edges Higher to $9.52/shr

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Near-Term Outlook. At $12.91, CLF trades at ~17.0x our 2026E EV/EBITDA – well north of its 5.0-8.0x historical band. At this altitude, the market is already underwriting a lot of good news: EBITDA above our…

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January 9, 2026

GE Vernova in 2026 (GEV, BUY): New Year, New Debates. Deep dive refreshes next leg for Power Services – PT to $1087, reit BUY

By Austin Wang

We break apart the state of play for GE Vernova, addressing new areas of emphasis out of an accelerative investor day and previewing 4Q (1/28). While we are taking both our estimates and our 12-month…

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January 9, 2026

China Solar Update: Regulators Pull the Handbrake on “Anti-Involution” Initiative

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Anti-Involution Hopes Drove Stellar Performance in Chinese Solar Stocks in 2025. China’s “anti-involution” push in solar is Beijing admitting – quietly – that endless capacity growth and price wars have produced impressive volume statistics and…

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January 8, 2026

ERRATUM – Correcting prior report to reflect TESLA’s Q4 Gaap EPS as $0.18 vs $0.24 prior – Q4 Preview: If Autonomy is now a Commodity and Robots Work Elsewhere, What Exactly is Tesla Worth (Detailed/Simplified Sum-of-the-Parts Below)?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

What Changed? The impact to Tesla’s GAAP-EPS, quarterly, from its digital asset holdings is calculated as: ([Bitcoin Price on Last Day of Current Quarter – Bitcoin Price on Last Day of Prior Quarter] * Units…

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January 8, 2026

Metals & Mining Weekly: Prices Up, Reality Down – Markets Bid on Hope, Not Demand

By Gordon L. Johnson II

LME Metal Prices Mostly Higher Yesterday. Copper -2.55% to $5.86/lb; aluminum +1.20% to $1.58/lb; nickel +4.76% to $9.85/lb; zinc +0.06% to $1.57/lb; lead +0.55% to $1.14/lb; gold -0.79% to $4,459/oz; silver -3.34% to $78.55/oz; platinum -5.67%…

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January 7, 2026

Q4 Preview: If Autonomy is now a Commodity and Robots Work Elsewhere, What Exactly is Tesla Worth (Detailed/Simplified Sum-of-the-Parts Below)?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Bottom line: Adjusting Q4 for reality rather than narrative – 418K in Q4 deliveries, a Q4 mix-shift toward heavily discounted Model Ys outside of China (with prices drifting from $39.9k in the U.S. to as…

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December 31, 2025

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 12/31/2025: Producers Take Price in a Volumes Vacuum

By Austin Wang

Major Chinese solar producers are aggressively pushing for price increases across the entire value chain, citing rising costs for silver paste and raw materials. Despite these higher quotations, market transactions have largely stalled as downstream…

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