Our Research


January 13, 2026

Are Chinese Solar Stocks Rallying for a (really) Dumb Reason… Setting Up a “Wile E. Coyote” Moment (i.e., cliff) for the Shares in Late March?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Bottom Line. Last Thursday (link), in what can only be described as unambiguously bad news for publicly traded Chinese solar manufacturers, the CCP quietly pulled the rug out from under the industry’s economics. Effective April…

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January 12, 2026

Cleveland Cliffs: Still the Worst House in a “Troubled” Neighborhood; Reiterate SELL, PT Edges Higher to $9.52/shr

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Near-Term Outlook. At $12.91, CLF trades at ~17.0x our 2026E EV/EBITDA – well north of its 5.0-8.0x historical band. At this altitude, the market is already underwriting a lot of good news: EBITDA above our…

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January 9, 2026

GE Vernova in 2026 (GEV, BUY): New Year, New Debates. Deep dive refreshes next leg for Power Services – PT to $1087, reit BUY

By Austin Wang

We break apart the state of play for GE Vernova, addressing new areas of emphasis out of an accelerative investor day and previewing 4Q (1/28). While we are taking both our estimates and our 12-month…

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January 9, 2026

China Solar Update: Regulators Pull the Handbrake on “Anti-Involution” Initiative

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Anti-Involution Hopes Drove Stellar Performance in Chinese Solar Stocks in 2025. China’s “anti-involution” push in solar is Beijing admitting – quietly – that endless capacity growth and price wars have produced impressive volume statistics and…

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January 8, 2026

ERRATUM – Correcting prior report to reflect TESLA’s Q4 Gaap EPS as $0.18 vs $0.24 prior – Q4 Preview: If Autonomy is now a Commodity and Robots Work Elsewhere, What Exactly is Tesla Worth (Detailed/Simplified Sum-of-the-Parts Below)?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

What Changed? The impact to Tesla’s GAAP-EPS, quarterly, from its digital asset holdings is calculated as: ([Bitcoin Price on Last Day of Current Quarter – Bitcoin Price on Last Day of Prior Quarter] * Units…

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January 8, 2026

Metals & Mining Weekly: Prices Up, Reality Down – Markets Bid on Hope, Not Demand

By Gordon L. Johnson II

LME Metal Prices Mostly Higher Yesterday. Copper -2.55% to $5.86/lb; aluminum +1.20% to $1.58/lb; nickel +4.76% to $9.85/lb; zinc +0.06% to $1.57/lb; lead +0.55% to $1.14/lb; gold -0.79% to $4,459/oz; silver -3.34% to $78.55/oz; platinum -5.67%…

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January 7, 2026

Q4 Preview: If Autonomy is now a Commodity and Robots Work Elsewhere, What Exactly is Tesla Worth (Detailed/Simplified Sum-of-the-Parts Below)?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Bottom line: Adjusting Q4 for reality rather than narrative – 418K in Q4 deliveries, a Q4 mix-shift toward heavily discounted Model Ys outside of China (with prices drifting from $39.9k in the U.S. to as…

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December 31, 2025

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 12/31/2025: Producers Take Price in a Volumes Vacuum

By Austin Wang

Major Chinese solar producers are aggressively pushing for price increases across the entire value chain, citing rising costs for silver paste and raw materials. Despite these higher quotations, market transactions have largely stalled as downstream…

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December 30, 2025

Picks & Shovels: Gas turbine new entrant secures 2.4 GW Qatar CCGT mandate

By Austin Wang

We understand that South Korea-based Doosan Enerbility, increasingly focused on winning a foothold in global large-scale gas turbines, has won an equipment order to provide the CCGT for a 2.4 GW power plant near Doha,…

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December 29, 2025

Picks & Shovels: Tesla wins UK BESS as E&C

By Austin Wang

Leading clean energy developer Matrix Renewables announced it would retain Tesla as E&C partner for its standalone 1GWh BESS in Eccles, Scotland. PRIM ($128.00, BUY) – Competitors receive full notice to proceed as E&C on…

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December 24, 2025

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 12/24/2025: Chinese Cell Prices Rally as Chinese Makers Offload Sky-High Silver Costs Despite Demand Slump

By Austin Wang

Downstream value-chains pass on silver inflation in this week’s rally even as the upstream commodity takes a step back. Please see bottom of report for important disclosures Gordon L. Johnson/GLJ Research LLC ————————————————– Polysilicon Futures…

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December 23, 2025

Primoris (PRIM, BUY): Direct to hyperscaler? Google-Intersect tie-up implications, reit BUY

By Austin Wang

Google announced a landmark deal to acquire Intersect Power, a tier 1 clean energy developer and one of PRIM’s largest customers. We break apart this monumental shift in energy procurement strategy and what it means…

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December 23, 2025

Picks & Shovels: GEV wins major India HVDC order from Adani Group company, another offshore wind halt hits Vineyard Wind

By Austin Wang

GE Vernova announced a major contract award to supply HVDC convertors for Adani Energy Solutions’ Gujarat, India renewable power transmission corridor. GEV ($661.81, BUY) – T&D India wins major India HVDC order (link)GE Vernova’s India…

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December 19, 2025

Metals & Mining Weekly: US HRC Steel Prices Hold Firm Near $900/st as Mill Discipline Keeps Lead Times Steady

By Gordon L. Johnson II

LME Metal Prices Mostly Higher Yesterday. Copper +1.28% to $5.33/lb; aluminum +0.40% to $1.41/lb; nickel +1.24% to $7.53/lb; zinc +0.53% to $1.48/lb; lead +0.27% to $1.08/lb; gold -0.21% to $4,329/oz; silver -1.39% to $65.34/oz; platinum +1.28%…

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December 16, 2025

Picks & Shovels: HVDC transformer capacity ramps in Memphis, TN

By Austin Wang

Seoul, SK based Hyosung Heavy Industries announced plans to expand capacity by 50% at its 765 kV power transformer plant in Memphis, TN. GEV ($681.92, BUY) – SK-based OEM announces $157mm investment in Memphis HVDC…

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