November 4, 2025
WHAT’S UP? Last Thursday, FSLR reported 3Q25 results that – by any rational measure – were underwhelming. Revs came in at $1.595bn with GAAP EPS of $4.24 vs. GLJe $1.589bn/$4.26 (Cons. $1.608bn/$4.31) – a miss….
October 31, 2025
GE Vernova published a positive 3Q update and announced plans to acquire the remaining 50% stake in its North America transformer business, a 50/50 joint venture with Xignux, targeting a mid-2026 close. At 13.2x guided…
October 31, 2025
We review the implications of two recent CCGT project awards as Argan announces a major CCGT award while another goes to a consortium formed by generation new entrant Quanta and a revived Argan competitor. Overall,…
October 30, 2025
GE Vernova secured another 1.2GW of CCGT demand in Indiana. A key customer for Primoris cancels a $300mm BESS facility, possibly over NIMBY opposition. GEV ($575.14, BUY) – GEV inks 1.2GW CCGT in Indiana (link)GE…
October 29, 2025
WHAT’S UP? ENPH just did something unusual for a solar company – it told investors the truth. The company reported Q3 revenue and non-GAAP EPS of $410.4mn/$0.90, handily above Consensus at $365mn/$0.65 (GLJe $362mn/$0.58). The…
October 28, 2025
Wall Street Optimism High Headed into Q3 Results Tonight; is it Warranted? Investors appear downright euphoric heading into ENPH’s Q3 print tonight. The problem? The math doesn’t support the mood. On 7/22 management guided to…
October 23, 2025
Tesla’s Q3 Results Disappoint; Musk’s Promised Future Slips Further into Fantasy. TSLA reported Q3 rev/non-GAAP EPS of $28.095bn/$0.50 vs. Cons $26.365bn/$0.54 (GLJe $27.8bn/$0.59), or a bottom-line miss despite a sizeable top-line beat. The problem? Lower…
October 22, 2025
Management posted a positive update we believe met elevated buyside expectations. Vertiv continues to realize accelerative demand trends for its core product suite, but medium-term competitive concerns and increasing keep us cautious here for reasons…
October 22, 2025
Consensus Estimates Appear Too Low Ahead of Tesla’s Q3 Print (after the close today). Consensus appears too conservative heading into Tesla’s Q3 release. As shown in Ex. 1, we’ve revised our 3Q25E automotive revenue higher,…
October 21, 2025
We spoke with the head of business development at a leading gas power E&C. Pricing trends continue to inflate sequentially with even brownfield work seeing inflation. We also dissect exactly how staffing expansion happened at…
October 21, 2025
Cleveland Cliffs: Another Chapter in the Fairy Tale. Cleveland Cliffs just posted its fifth consecutive quarter of negative gross margins – this, despite President Trump’s trade war artificially inflating U.S. steel prices since 1Q25. Yesterday,…
October 17, 2025
Major transmission OEM announces large hiring plans. South Korean gas turbine secures first U.S. order. Major RTO receives FERC approval to consider BTM generation in approving transmission offtakes. PRIM ($138.82, BUY) – Hitachi to hire…
October 16, 2025
We caught up with Argan CEO David Watson earlier this week. The focus remains firmly on Argan’s Gemma Power Systems, along with Fluor (FLR, not rated) one of the few leading CCGT E&Cs available for…
October 16, 2025
California Solar Initiative (“CSI”) Data Sheds Light on State of Affairs for Module Level Performance Electronic (“MLPE”) Bellwethers Enphase and SolarEdge, as well as U.S. Solar/Storage Markets. Over the 3Q15-to-2Q25 period (i.e., 40 quarters of data),…
October 14, 2025
We expect 3Q25 to be a positive event for shares as GEV surprises investors with a robust bookings pathway driven by CCGT SRA conversion and Saudi condensers hitting equipment RPOs for Power & Electrification. Expect…