Our Research


July 7, 2026

ShovelCheck: Anatomy of a Data Center Cancellation with a $2bn Data Center OEM

By Austin Wang

We sat down with a chief commercial officer at a leading private data center OEM for power management and cooling solutions to discuss Blackstone-backed data center developer QTS’ decision to walk away from a multi-phase…

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July 7, 2026

GLJ Macro Weekly: Eighteen Treasury Withdrawals, No Deposits; the $442B Bar Tab That Comes Due Every Tues. and Thurs. Until Labor Day

By Gordon L. Johnson II

T-bill settlement days have quietly cost the S&P 500 its entire year. The drain resumes this week. The Bottom Line On the 41 days since late October when the Treasury settled more bills than it…

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July 7, 2026

Metals & Mining Weekly: Rising Imports + Widening Import Arbitrage + 2nd Straight Week Nucor Pauses Prices (After 23 Straight Weeks of Hikes) = N-Term Sentiment Drag

By Gordon L. Johnson II

LME Metal Prices Mostly Higher vs. Previous Close: Today, Copper -0.03% to $6.06/lb; aluminum +0.34% to $1.53/lb; nickel +0.16% to $8.54/lb; zinc +0.97% to $1.65/lb; lead -0.18% to $1.06/lb; gold +0.07% to $4,168/oz; silver -1.07%…

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July 6, 2026

Picks & Shovels: Vertiv brings on new APAC CDU capacity

By Austin Wang

Vertiv announced the opening of a new Johor, Malaysia facility aimed at expanding capacity of its CDU for an accelerative APAC market. VRT (BUY, $300.53) – Capacity ramp continues with Johor, Malaysia launch (link) Vertiv…

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July 2, 2026

Primoris (PRIM, BUY) – Blattner has left the building, but we haven’t – 2Q Preview, PT to $103

By Austin Wang

We are positive on PRIM post its aggressive negative revision of F’26 outlook. We believe management’s conservatism sets up PRIM for strong F’27 EBITDA growth and see upside to the Renewables guidance for flat growth…

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July 2, 2026

ShovelCheck: Equipment orders at private OEMs power out of 1H

By Austin Wang

Private data center OEMs we spoke with emphasized strong exit-rates on 1H order trends with hyperscaler and neocloud clients, in defiance of recent narratives fit to choppy moves across our names. We break apart reads…

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July 1, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 7/1/2026: Cost Support Weakens, Downward Price Pressure Persists Across the Solar PV Supply Chain

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Please see bottom of report for important disclosures Gordon L. Johnson/GLJ Research LLC ————————————————– Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$35,820/ton = $5.07/kg) – down 1.8% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT….

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July 1, 2026

Fluence Energy, Inc. (FLNC) – Batteries Included, Transformers Sold Separately; Initiating at BUY (High Risk); $26/shr Year-End Price Objective

By Gordon L. Johnson II

The grid is short on reserve margin. AI is the reason. Fluence sells the cure — proven batteries, not “PowerPoint” transformers. Trade construction: Own FLNC outright (high-risk long), and/or express it as a relative-value pair…

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June 30, 2026

US Solar Inverter Industry Update: Right Headline, Wrong Stocks

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Washington is drafting a ban on Chinese inverters. ENPH (+12%) and SEDG (+10%) are ripping in the pre-market. One problem: the ban targets the one part of the market these two barely touch (i.e., utility-scale)….

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June 29, 2026

Sunrun (RUN) – The June 2026 vs. April 2026 Solar ABS Remittance Reports are the “Tell”

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Solar-loan ABS is repricing in real time. Sunrun doesn’t appear anywhere in the data below — which is exactly why the read-through is being mispriced. The reports aren’t about Sunrun’s loans. They’re about the cost…

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June 29, 2026

Legence (LGN, BUY) – Co-vendor checks + STRL reads emphasize future rate-of-change – 2Q Preview – PT to $122

By Austin Wang

We reiterate our BUY rating with LGN holding pre-1Q levels despite stronger fundamentals. Our checks with co-vendors and CEO-validated reads from competitor Sterling (STRL, not rated) emphasize strong 2H bookings rate-of-change even as former owner…

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June 24, 2026

GLJ SOLAR PRICING UPDATE – 6/24/2026

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Please see bottom of report for important disclosures Gordon L. Johnson/GLJ Research LLC ————————————————– Polysilicon Futures Spot Contract Price (CNY$36,485/ton = $5.15/kg) – down 0.1% w/w Note: Adjusted for CNY exchange rate and 13% VAT….

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June 24, 2026

Sunrun (RUN) – 16 Gigawatts of Marketing, ~4 Gigawatts of Battery, and Not Much Else

By Gordon L. Johnson II

What you Need to Know. This morning Sunrun, Renew Home and Tesla announced a framework to deliver “more than 16 GW” of flexible capacity to hyperscalers and utilities. The number is engineered for a press…

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June 23, 2026

Metals & Mining Weekly: Nucor Hits Pause After 22 Straight Weeks of Hikes — Is the Top In?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

LME Metal Prices Mostly Higher vs. Previous Close: Yesterday, Copper -0.70% to $6.15/lb; aluminum +0.43% to $1.61/lb; nickel -2.05% to $8.98/lb; zinc -0.68% to $1.65/lb; lead -0.66% to $1.09/lb; gold +0.86% to $4,191/oz; silver +0.45%…

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June 18, 2026

Minimill 2Q26 Guides: A High-Quality Miss and a Low-Quality Beat

By Gordon L. Johnson II

STLD “misses” and NUE “beats” — but strip the one-offs and both print light; the read-through for Cleveland-Cliffs (“CLF”) and for 2H HRC is more nuanced than the headlines, with the import data the swing…

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