Our Research


November 26, 2025

ERATTUM: GEV Rating is Buy; earlier said Sell in error Picks & Shovels: AMZN announces $15bn Indiana expansion

By Austin Wang

Amazon announces an incremental $15bn investment in Northern Indiana, sponsoring another 3 GW of power generation capacity to support 2.4 GW of new data centers. GEV ($572.56, Buy) – AMZN to invest $15bn in Indiana…

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November 25, 2025

AGX – F3Q Preview: Focusing beyond the bookings, PT to $447

By Austin Wang

Argan will report F3Q’26 earnings next Thursday, Dec. 4th, after market close; we see the focus very much on Power Services order $’s for pricing read-thru but also on management’s commentary on a compelling opportunity…

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November 25, 2025

How Q4 Car Deliveries Shaping up with Nearly Two-Thirds of the Quarter Over & is Tesla’s GAAP Earnings at Risk of Turning Negative?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Just How ‘Good’ – or More Accurately, How Bad – Are Tesla’s Auto Sales Trending With Nearly Two Months of Q4 Now in the Rearview? When we strip out the optimism, the spin, and the…

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November 23, 2025

Argan (AGX, BUY) – CEO 1×1 takeaways + feedback on our upgrade, reit BUY

By Austin Wang

We sat down with Argan CEO David Watson to discuss our recent upgrade of Argan shares as intra-regional staffing demonstrates upside to management’s previously messaged ceiling on gas generation upside. Management validated our thesis, emphasizing…

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November 21, 2025

Picks & Shovels: GOOGL announces $40bn for 3 data centers in TX, GEV Onshore Wind

By Austin Wang

GOOGL announces $40bn for 3 data centers in TX. Argan begins construction on Basin Ranch. SunZia takes delivery of GEV Onshore Wind turbines. AGX ($353.30, BUY) – Google commit $40bn to Texas (link) Google (GOOGL,…

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November 21, 2025

Is the Set-Up for US Markets into Next Week’s Holiday-Shortened Period “Surreptitiously” Bearish

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Is the U.S. Stock Market at Risk of a More Accelerated Sell-Off Next Week (given just 3.5 trading days)? In this note, when looking at: (a) the correlation between Bitcoin (“XBTUSD”) and the Invesco QQQ…

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November 21, 2025

Metals & Mining Weekly: Does Surge in SMU Mill Order Index + Rising US HRC Lead Times = Light at the End of the ‘Steel Fundamentals Tunnel’?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

LME Metal Prices Mixed vs. Yesterday’s Close. Copper -0.06% to $4.87/lb; aluminum +0.15% to $1.37/lb; nickel +0.37% to $7.54/lb; zinc +0.01% to $1.43/lb; lead +0.13% to $1.10/lb; gold -0.02% to $4,077/oz; silver -1.35% to $50.66/oz; platinum…

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November 19, 2025

GLJ Solar Weekly – CSI Data Dump for Sep. ’25 Sheds Light on Storage Momentum & Debunking the ‘Solar-Plus-Storage is Cheaper than Nat. Gas’ CSIQ/JKS Bull Thesis (using elementary algebra)

By Gordon L. Johnson II

California Solar Initiative (‘CSI’) Data Offers a Fairly Blunt Reality Check on the Health of the MLPE Inverter Leaders (ENPH + SEDG) as well as the Broader US Storage Market. Sep.’s data release isn’t just…

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November 14, 2025

CSIQ Q3 Review: Does Canadian Solar’s “Brazen” 2026 Outlook Position it as an Even Better Short?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

What Happened? Yesterday, due mainly to a few unexpected storage project sales, CSIQ reported Q3 rev/non-GAAP EPS of $1.5bn/-$0.58 vs. GLJe $1.5bn/-$0.41 (Cons. $1.4bn/-$0.53), and e-STORAGE sales of 2.7GWh (above its guidance of 2.1-2.3GWh). Yet,…

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November 14, 2025

ShovelCheck: AGX linked with new CCGT project for West Virginia

By Austin Wang

FirstEnergy proposes a 1.2 GW CCGT & 70 MW of utility-scale solar in West Virginia. Blackstone commits $1.2bn to develop 600 MW greenfield CCGT in West Virginia. Schneider Electric brings new Energy Management capacity online…

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November 13, 2025

Metals & Mining Weekly Update: US Spot HRC Prices Are Edging Higher; Yet Higher Domestic Output & Weak Demand Suggest Typical Seasonal Upside will be “Capped”

By Gordon L. Johnson II

LME Metal Prices Mostly Higher vs. Yesterday’s Close. Copper +0.22% to $4.91/lb; aluminum +0.44% to $1.38/lb; nickel -0.57% to $7.71/lb; zinc -0.18% to $1.44/lb; lead +0.48% to $1.12/lb; gold +1.66% to $4,195/oz; silver +3.96% to $53.25/oz;…

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November 13, 2025

Primoris (PRIM, BUY): Breaking apart the bookings blip – 3Q Refresh

By Austin Wang

PRIM posted a 0.7x trailing 12 months book-to-bill to overshadow a safe-harbor driven beat-and-raise quarter. On the call, management cited policy uncertainty. Clients we speak with seem to be moving to the sidelines, but we…

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November 12, 2025

CSIQ Q3 Preview 2.0: In the Words of Warren Buffett… “When you See a Fat Pitch, Take a Large Swing”

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Are Investors Positioned the Wrong Way Ahead of CSIQ’s 3Q25 Results? CSIQ has more than doubled (+114%) in the past month, compared to just +4.5% for the S&P 500 – an astonishing move considering that…

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November 10, 2025

RUN Q3 Review: Cash Gen Boosted by Asset Sales; Bull Case Hard to Disprove N-Term; Maintain Neutral Rating w/ Positive Bias

By Gordon L. Johnson II

What’s Up? All investors seem to care about when it comes to RUN is its whacky “cash generation” results/guidance – i.e., RUN’s definition of cash flow, which includes debt issued and, for the first time…

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November 10, 2025

Argan (AGX, BUY) – Upgrade to BUY: A 2nd Gas Gen Deal Has Hit the F3Q Book, PT to $369

By Austin Wang

Argan’s Gemma Power Systems announced full notice to proceed on an 860MW gas-fired power plant will enter into F3Q26 backlog. Conversations with Gemma’s largest competitors lead us to believe this project is Vistra’s Monahans, Texas…

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