Industry Notes


September 15, 2025

Metals & Mining Snapshot (“The Daily Smelt”): September 15

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Our Inaugural Metals & Mining Daily Snapshot. Welcome to the first edition of our Metals & Mining Daily Snapshot. Starting tomorrow, you’ll have this in your inbox at 7am every morning – think of it…

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September 8, 2025

GLJ Solar Weekly – California Solar Initiative Data Dump for June ’25 + Wood Mackenzie/SEIA Updated 2025E Solar Forecast

By Gordon L. Johnson II

California Solar Initiative (“CSI”) Data Sheds Light on State of Affairs for Module Level Performance Electronic (“MLPE”) Bellwethers Enphase and SolarEdge, as well as U.S. Storage Market. In this note, we provide the key takeaways from…

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September 4, 2025

Steel Industry Monitor: Waiting for an ‘Upturn’, While Reality Keeps Delivering ‘Flatlines’

By Gordon L. Johnson II

What’s Inside? Twenty-three exhibits capturing the core industry trends that will likely dictate North American steel pricing in the months ahead. Conclusion. Spot HRC prices have held mostly steady over the past two weeks, but…

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August 27, 2025

GLJ Solar Weekly – A Detailed Look into Global Solar Demand (by Country) and What it Suggests for the Solar Sector in 2H25E & 2026E

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Global Solar Demand: An Update. We’ve reviewed the patchwork of government data, trade association reports, media anecdotes, and BloombergNEF estimates to frame where global solar demand stands heading into 2H25E and 2026E. The popular narrative…

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August 14, 2025

GLJ Macro Update – That’s a Nice Bull Market You’ve Got There… Be a Shame if “Liquidity” Happened to It

By Gordon L. Johnson II

For the First Time Since 2018, w/ the Fed’s QE Slush Fund (i.e., the “RRP”) Now Nearly Empty, Treasury Issuance Has to Come From Bank Reserves; Are Equity Bulls Overlooking This? Liquidity fell in 2022…

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July 22, 2025

Fireside Chat w/ the Largest Solar Distributor in the U.S. Sheds Light on “State of the Union” at SolarEdge and Enphase (Q&A from Today Below)

By Gordon L. Johnson II

We Finally Heard Back from the Head of Mid-West, Southern, and South-West Sales at the Largest Distributor of Solar Products in the U.S. In light of Enphase’s pending 2Q25E results after the close today, we…

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July 18, 2025

GLJ Macro Weekly – Is the U.S. Treasury’s Next Move Likely to Drain Liquidity, Suggesting Risk to the U.S. Equity Bull Market Run?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

A Material Amount of Liquidity Appears Likely to be Drawn Out of U.S. Equity Markets Near-Term. As a reminder to our readers, during negotiations before the debt ceiling was raised with the One Big Beautiful…

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July 8, 2025

GLJ Solar Weekly – California Solar Initiative Data Dump for May ’25 + Fireside Chat w/ Structured Products Trader on Appetite for Solar ABS Paper = Update on Residential Solar “State of the Union”

By Gordon L. Johnson II

California Solar Initiative (“CSI”) Data Sheds Light on State of Affairs for Module Level Performance Electronic (“MLPE”) Bellwethers Enphase and SolarEdge, as well as U.S. Storage Market. In this note, we provide the key takeaways from…

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June 24, 2025

Fireside Chat w/ Largest U.S. Solar Distributor Sheds Light onto Coming 2Q25E Solar Earnings Season; and, is Europe “Souring” on Solar, Putting Global Prices at Risk?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

How is Solar Demand Trending in the US into Q2 Earnings Season, and What’s going on in Europe? A number of market pundits are of the mindset a swath of solar companies will (likely) post…

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June 13, 2025

GLJ Solar Weekly – California Solar Initiative “Data Dump” for Apr. ’25 + Channel Checks from World’s Largest Solar Conference (SNEC in Shanghai) = Bird’s Eye View into what to Expect Ahead of 2Q25E Solar Industry Earnings

By Gordon L. Johnson II

California Solar Initiative (“CSI”) Data Sheds Light on State of Affairs for Module Level Performance Electronic (“MLPE”) Bellwethers Enphase and SolarEdge, as well as U.S. Storage Market. In this note, we provide the key takeaways from…

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June 6, 2025

Is There Still Risk to Being Short the Solar Resi Darlings (i.e., SunRun + SolarEdge) We Recently Upgraded… Near-Term?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

So… What is GLJ Research Hearing on What the Senate’s Version of President Trump’s “Big Beautiful Bill” will Offer? Following discussions held today/yesterday with Washington D.C. government contacts on the Hill, in the below we…

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June 3, 2025

GLJ Solar Weekly – California Solar Initiative “Data Dump” for 1Q25 & Mar. ’25 + Channel Checks into European Inverter/Storage Demand + Fireside Chat w/ Largest U.S. Solar Distributor = The Fundamental Backdrop for SEDG/ENPH Appears to be Worsening Even Further

By Gordon L. Johnson II

California Solar Initiative (“CSI”) Data Sheds Light on State of Affairs for Module Level Performance Electronic (“MLPE”) Bellwethers Enphase and SolarEdge. In this note, we provide the key takeaways from March’s CSI data dump, and what…

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May 6, 2025

How are US Consumers & Firms Reacting to Trump’s Tariffs – i.e., Is the U.S. Stock Market at Risk of (another) Acute Sell-Off (i.e., are Bears being offered a “gift” at current levels)?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

How are US Consumers and Firms Reacting to Trump’s Tariffs? Before we attempt to answer this question, we’ll remind our readers, in our 3/26/25 GLJ Macro Weekly update, based on: (1) what we saw as…

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April 24, 2025

GLJ Solar Weekly – Updated 1Q25A Solar Installs in Germany/China + Today’s Updated Local China Solar Poly/Wafer/Cell/Module Weekly Prices = Bird’s Eye View Into What to Expect for the Solar Parts Makers in 1H25E

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Price Tracker. Applying a modified approach, we detail PV pricing data by substrate, segmented by Chinese and global prices, tracked each Wednesday by EnergyTrend, PVInsights, and PVInfolink, respectively. This week, price changes in China for mono-grade…

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April 15, 2025

Are Investors Underestimating the Top Twelve “Casualties of Trump’s Trade War” in the Solar Sector?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Are Solar Investors Too Focused on an Overly Simplistic Binary, where “More Trump Tariffs = Bad” vs. “Less Trump Tariffs = Good”, when they Should be Focused on how Trump’s Tariffs will Impact Individual Solar…

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