Our Research


October 13, 2025

Canadian Solar: Is Wall Street Sleeping Walking Past what will Likely Prove to be an “Unfortunate” Q3?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Q3 Preview – More Trick than Treat. Once again, the market seems content to sleepwalk – this time straight into what looks like an unfortunate Q3 for CSIQ. For those who actually read 10-Ks and…

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October 10, 2025

Primoris (PRIM, BUY): New CEO underscores push into growth end-markets

By Austin Wang

We are hopeful about the appointment of a tenured Jacobs executive with strong experience across Primoris’ most critical growth markets. Reiterate BUY. Traditionally, Primoris has drawn senior and divisional leadership from a cadre of ex-CB&I…

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October 8, 2025

Picks & Shovels: Secretary of Energy on data centers, liquid cooling product launch

By Austin Wang

Secretary of Energy stresses need for collocated power in media appearance. A Vertiv rival held a launch event reintroducing an expanded liquid cooling suite for AI / HPC applications. Vertiv announces the impending appointment of…

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October 7, 2025

Fireside Chat w/ Large Solar Distributor Sheds Light on Current “State of the Union” for Solar Sector Headed into Q3 Results

By Gordon L. Johnson II

What is the Largest Distributor of Solar Products Seeing into Year End? In the below, we provide a Q&A we had, yesterday, with the largest distributor of U.S. solar products in the world – and…

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October 3, 2025

As Expected, Tesla’s Q3 Deliveries Beat Consensus; US Sales Jump +29% YoY; But, the “Hangover” from the Party Appears to Just be Getting Started

By Gordon L. Johnson II

End of Tax Credit Pushes Tesla’s Q3 Deliveries to Record High. Everyone knew the U.S. would be strong due to demand pull-forward, but just how strong was the question. Yesterday, we got the answer. TSLA…

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October 3, 2025

Picks & Shovels: Matador, Siemens Energy 2GW gas order, GEV Onshore Wind order

By Austin Wang

Fermi S-11 sets extremely ambitious timeline for gas & nuclear generation deployments, discloses possible PRIM involvement. Xcel Energy has purchased 2GW in gas generation from GEV competitor Siemens Energy to serve load growth in TX,…

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October 1, 2025

Primoris (PRIM, BUY): 3Q25 Preview – Gas-fired upside amidst Matador caution, PT to $168

By Austin Wang

Management continues to emphasize a strong ’26 opportunity-set for continued utility-scale solar gains, but we believe investors expect potential gas generation commentary to drive a possible +HSD % move from these levels. Tweaking our Gas…

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September 29, 2025

China’s PV Installations Fell -55% YoY in Aug., after Falling -45%/-40% in Jul./Jun.; this Collapse Foretells Big Problems Ahead for Canadian Solar and Jinko Solar

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Well, That’s Not Good for Canadian Solar and Jinko Solar. China’s August 2025 solar PV installations (Ex. 1) were cut in half versus last year, coming in at just 7.6GWac. Importantly, if this pace continues,…

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September 28, 2025

Vertiv (VRT, SELL) – Is this Moat Micro-Soft? Reiterate SELL

By Austin Wang

We view Microsoft’s announcement of a new in-house thermal management system as a catalyst on an increasingly negative event path for Vertiv. While our competitors have been quick to point out the Microsoft solutions most…

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September 25, 2025

GLJ Macro Update – Looking at the “Three Horsemen” of U.S. Equity Market Momentum (CTA Flows + Vol Fund Flows + Liquidity), What’s in Store for the Next Few Days/Weeks?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

What’s the Macro Trading Set-Up Headed into September Month-End? In general, into month-end, we believe the market is being steered by three forces – and none of them are fundamentals. That is, barring a surprise…

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September 24, 2025

Metals & Mining Snapshot (“The Daily Smelt”): September 24

By Gordon L. Johnson II

LME metal prices mostly lower vs. previous close. Copper flat at $4.50/lb; Nickel +0.19% to $7.73/lb; Aluminum -0.19% to $1.32/lb; Zinc -0.35% to $1.39/lb; Lead -0.46% to $1.08/lb; Gold -0.07% to $3,762/oz; silver -0.33% to $44/oz;…

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September 23, 2025

Those Assuming Third-Party-Ownership (“TPO”) Solar Installs Grow in 2026E May be in for a “Rude Awakening”; PT Edges Higher to $23.49/shr from $19.80/shr Prior; SELL

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Final Word. Bears have been reluctant to press ahead of both: (1) potential demand pull-forward in Q3 and Q4 as the 25D credit phaseout approaches, as well as (2) calls that TPO solar installations will…

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September 22, 2025

Initiate Argan (AGX) at HOLD: Staffing “Show-me” Story Limits Further Revisions

By Austin Wang

We initiate coverage of Argan at HOLD with a PT of $251 (~3% downside) as investor expectations have run ahead of management’s ability to scale into what we agree is an generational demand for generation…

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September 22, 2025

Initiate Primoris (PRIM) at BUY: The Generation E&C – Incremental Crews Win in Gas & Solar

By Austin Wang

We initiate coverage of Primoris Services at BUY with a PT of $160 to highlight a shift in the utility capex cycle towards generation, and emphasize how PRIM’s strong market position and unique staffing capabilities…

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September 22, 2025

Capacity is King: Initiating coverage on Generation E&Cs PRIM & AGX

By Austin Wang

We initiate coverage on solar & gas generation E&Cs Primoris (PRIM $121.94, BUY) and Argan (AGX $259.58, HOLD) at a time when E&Cs are seeing unprecedented pricing power. The conversation is shifting now from if…

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