Our Research


August 29, 2025

Is Cameco’s 2025 McArthur River Production Cut a “Goldilocks” Scenario Headed into Next Weeks’ World Nuclear Association Symposium in London?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

The World Nuclear Association’s flagship gathering, the World Nuclear Symposium (“WNA”), kicks off next week. Historically, this is when much of the forward-years’ contracting for U₃O₈ supply gets done. The timing of Cameco’s production cut…

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August 27, 2025

GLJ Solar Weekly – A Detailed Look into Global Solar Demand (by Country) and What it Suggests for the Solar Sector in 2H25E & 2026E

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Global Solar Demand: An Update. We’ve reviewed the patchwork of government data, trade association reports, media anecdotes, and BloombergNEF estimates to frame where global solar demand stands heading into 2H25E and 2026E. The popular narrative…

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August 22, 2025

Q2 Review: Bad Goes to Worse (as GLJ warned); But is the Pain Over?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Canadian Solar: Are Investors Looking the Wrong Way? Canadian Solar reported another disappointing quarter, with Q2 revenue and earnings below expectations and management guiding Q3 and 2025 materially lower. While many of the “China ADR…

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August 21, 2025

How Do Tesla’s Fundamentals Stack Up vs. its Magnificent 6 Peers Over the Next 5-to-10 Years?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Is Tesla’s Valuation Justified When Applying the “Heroic” Assumptions from its Biggest Bulls? In this note, applying the public forecasts from some of Tesla’s most ardent bulls (i.e., Morgan Stanley), we attempt to address why…

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August 19, 2025

Initiate Vertiv (VRT) at SELL – High-Density Competition in a High-Density Future

By Austin Wang

We initiate coverage of Vertiv with a SELL rating and a $112 PT (-17% downside). While VRT has enjoyed a largely justified multi-year re-rate on the back of AI infrastructure tailwinds, we believe the stock…

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August 15, 2025

US Treasury Guidance on President Trump’s Executive Order Essentially Excludes Resi Solar from Sig. Harm; Upgrade to HOLD as N-Term, we No Longer See a SELL Rating as Fitting

By Gordon L. Johnson II

The US Treasury Has Issued Guidance… and it Couldn’t Be Better News for the Residential Solar Space. While many thought President Trump’s Treasury department was going to kill the loophole that allowed residential solar companies…

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August 14, 2025

GLJ Macro Update – That’s a Nice Bull Market You’ve Got There… Be a Shame if “Liquidity” Happened to It

By Gordon L. Johnson II

For the First Time Since 2018, w/ the Fed’s QE Slush Fund (i.e., the “RRP”) Now Nearly Empty, Treasury Issuance Has to Come From Bank Reserves; Are Equity Bulls Overlooking This? Liquidity fell in 2022…

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August 12, 2025

Q2 Review: Solid Results and Outlook; U.S. Government Offers “Helping Hand” Yet Again; PT Rises to $214.06; BUY

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Solid Results/Outlook. FSLR’s reported solid Q2 results, with both revs and EPS ahead of expectations. And, while the company recorded negative net bookings in 1H25 (due to 1.1GW of cancellations in Q2), FSLR has since…

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August 8, 2025

Sunrun Seems to Be Betting the IRS Is Too Dumb to Notice a Definition Change Worth Billions in Tax Credits

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Is Sunrun Counting on the IRS to Be as Inept with Safe Harboring as It Has Been with the Recursive ITC? Earlier this week, we highlighted Sunrun’s own guidance that its inventory will balloon from…

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August 8, 2025

Despite Elon Musk’s Touting of the Spectacular Capabilities of Tesla’s Dojo CPU Just Last Month, & Morgan Stanley Currently Valuing it at $500bn, Last Night we Learned the Program has Been Terminated

By Gordon L. Johnson II

All 20 members of Tesla’s Dojo team – including its leader, Peter Bannon – have left the company to join a startup called DensityAI (yes, the entire team). Last night, we learned that the lion’s…

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August 7, 2025

SunRun’s Safe Harbor Guidance Suggests a “Beavis and Butt-Head Bank” Exists, and is Chomping at the Bit to Incinerate $1bn in Cash

By Gordon L. Johnson II

So, Despite: Reporting 2Q25A Op. Cash Flow of -$293mn (Cons. -$142mn), 2Q25A Free-Cash-Flow of -$985mn (Cons. -$565mn), The Trump Administration’s Ongoing Attempts to Shut Down the U.S. Solar Industry, Seeing All its Peers Recently Go…

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August 5, 2025

Are “Surging” Gas Turbine Order Books and the Swell in Stocks Like GEV Vernova Driving the Entire Power Derivatives Trade (to Include Nuclear Stocks) Higher?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Is Cameco “Unfairly” Benefitting from the Explosion in Gas Turbine Order Books Resulting from Simmering AI CAPEX Spend? Last week, Cameco reported 2Q25A rev/non-GAAP EPS of C$877mn/C$0.74 vs. GLJe’s ests. of C$801/C$0.43 (Cons C$825/C$0.34), or…

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July 30, 2025

Was News of Both: (a) China Potentially Rationalizing Away 406KMt of Poly-Si Capacity (~23% of 2025E Global Solar Demand) + (b) Spot Poly-Si Prices Surging +9% in Last Night’s Trading Session = ‘Missed’ by Western “China ADR Investors”?

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Are Western American Depository Receipt (“ADR”) Investors Missing the Forest for the Trees? Despite a plethora of incremental global poly-Si news (today/yesterday), because the Invesco Solar TAN ETF is down today (where NEXTracker, or the…

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July 24, 2025

Tesla 2Q25 Review – Elon Musk’s Lack of Usual “Puffery” on Q2 Conf. Call + Guidance that 4Q25E-2Q26E Could be “Rough” + -89%/-42% YoY Fall in Q2 Free-Cash-Flow/Op. Income = “Big” Problems Ahead for Struggling Auto Maker Trading at 181x Forward P/E

By Gordon L. Johnson II

Our Take on Tesla’s 2Q25A Results. While TSLA reported Q2 top-line sales and non-GAAP adj. EPS that missed Cons. ests. – i.e., Cons. ests. that were revised sharply lower through 2Q25, lowering the “bar” for…

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July 23, 2025

GE Vernova (GEV, BUY): “Buy-the-news” – our key takeaways beyond the numbers, reit BUY

By Austin Wang

Our preview flagged incremental buyers waiting on the sidelines to buy this print – +LDD% move as of publication affirms both the viability of this narrative post-earnings AND the incrementality of this update. There just…

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